- Current Conditions
- Weather News
YOUR TUSCARAWAS COUNTY QUIKCAST
A very cold day with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Risk for snow showers near the lakes. The next system will bring a mixed bag of precipitation for the weekend.
|Hi 18 °F||Lo 12 °F||Hi 30 °F||Lo 26 °F||Hi 35 °F||Lo 26 °F|
CURRENT TUSCARAWAS COUNTY CONDITIONS
|Thursday, December 12, 2013 06:30 AM -
Next Update: 6:45 am
|Today's Weather Hazards|
|In other communities across the county:
|Temp||Dew Point||Pressure||Humidity||Winds||Rain||Last Report|
|New Philadelphia(W)||9.7°F||4.5°F||30.546in.||NW @ Calm Gust 0mph||None||6:15 AM EST|
|New Philladelphia(S)||11.1°F||4.8°F||30.428in.||SW @ 1mph Gust 1mph||None||6:15 AM EST|
|Dennison||12.0°F||5.0°F||-9997.857in.||73%||NNE @ 2mph Gust 6mph||-15.500in.||5:44 AM EST|
|Dover||21.9°F||9.0°F||29.288in.||57%||NNW @ 3mph Gust 9mph||None||10:58 PM EST|
|Newcomerstown||11.5°F||6.4°F||30.537in.||80%||West @ 2mph Gust 3mph||None||6:15 AM EST|
|Strasburg||13.6°F||7.3°F||30.428in.||76%||WSW @ 2mph Gust 5mph||None||3:15 AM EST|
|Sugarcreek||19.9°F||16.0°F||-9997.857in.||82%||East @ 7mph Gust 17mph||-15.500in.||11:49 PM EST|
|Uhrichsville||12.0°F||5.0°F||-9997.857in.||73%||NNE @ 2mph Gust 6mph||-15.500in.||5:44 AM EST|
WEATHER NEWS FOR THE TUSCARAWAS VALLEY
By Joe Ebner - New Philadelphia, Ohio | December 11, 2013
Early model conciseness indicates a possible 3 to 6 inches of snow for northern portions of Tuscarawas County with 2 to 4 inches for southern communities
Many questions remain about the winter storm system that is due to bring another round of shovel-able snow to the Tuscarawas Valley on Saturday.
There remain some big differences in the different model solutions with the placement of two low pressure systems that will work to make this storm. My questions at this point are…
First, timing between the different models vary as to when snowfall will begin. This is expected this far out in any storm situation.
A couple of things usually happen with a dual set up such as this storm. If the inland low moves to our west, the push of incoming warm air tends to be stronger than the models predict – especially this far out.
Additionally, there is almost ALWAYS a dry slot that develops between the two systems. The problems are how far north will the dry slot go?
The models DO show some similarities, though. The more intense precipitation will keep to our south and east. Also, a rain/snow scenario is being shown on all the models this morning. There will always be icing in situations like this, so for now, I’ll include this in my early outlooks. It’s better to have it in so folks can make adjustments, than to spring it on them at the last moment. Trying to pinpoint EXACTLY where the sleet/ice will occur is nearly impossible at this point.
So, at this point it appears that snow will begin in and around the area sometime around dawn Saturday morning. I think we can count of having snow through the whole day. Sleet/icing will occur mostly within the I-70 corridor, which means that communities in southern Tuscarawas County will be more likely to see sleet and ice.
It does look pretty good that everyone in the area will see snow. At this point, I think a good preliminary idea is 3 to 6 inches total. I am sure this will be changing as we get closer to Saturday. I’m basing this on a recent run of the European model, which is one of our more accurate modes to use this far out. As you can see, the Euro is saying about 4 inches for northern portions of the county and about 3 inches for the south. Once the GFS and NAM begin to settle on the same idea I can make a more definitive forecast.
Again, the question is how far north that warm air makes it. That will make a difference in snow totals. If we do end up seeing sleet/rain because of warm air moving north, it will end at some point. When that happens, everyone goes back to all snow.
This will most likely change, so don’t take this to the bank. We are still a ways off on this and it’s impossible to create an exact forecast. You are going to hear stories of humongous snowfall for the east coast and New England. That may be true for that area of the country, but down here in East Central Ohio, we’ll get nothing like that.
The main thing to watch during the next few days is where that dry slot will end up and where the rain/snow line goes. For now, I’m going with rain south of I-70 so less snow there.
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