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Warm temperatures through Easter Weekend but showers and thunderstorms will threaten outdoor plans

High pressure will continue to dominate our weather on this Good Friday. The result will bring a bit less cloudiness today than we saw yesterday. With the extra sunsine, temperatures will also be warmer across east-central Ohio with most areas reaching the low to mid 70s here in the Tuscarawas Valley.

04-14-ndfd-day1-temps

SATURDAY
A warm front will approach and cross east-central Ohio and, while it will bring even warmer temperatures on Saturday, it will also bring the chances for a few showers and thunderstorms.

I think the best chances for any rain or storms will be during the afternoon right along the frontal boundary as it crosses. Even then, any showers will be spotty and they certainly won’t last all day. The best dynamics for any stronger storms will be low so any thunderstorms will stay below severe criteria.

The bottom line for Saturday? Expect a spotty shower or even a thunderstorm just about anytime anywhere especially during the afternoon hours.

Temperatures on Saturday will really take off behind the warm front. Here in the Valley we can expect most neighborhoods getting to the 80-degree mark.

04-14-ndfd-day2-temps

Our chances for a shower or storm will wane as we approach sunset and we should stay dry Saturday night. Temperatures will remain mild overnight – not getting much cooler than the low 60s by early Easter morning.

EASTER SUNDAY
The best chance to stay dry will be Easter morning in the Tuscarawas Valley. I don’t think you’ll have any weather problems during sunrise or early morning services. If you have plans for an egg hunt with the kids, it would be best to get it in before lunch time.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will be better on Sunday afternoon with a cold front. Cooler and drier air from the north will run into warm moist air creating a recipe for thunder during the afternoon.

04-14-gfs-60hr-ptype

While instability will not be high enough to support severe storms, upper-level shear will be strong enough to support a few strong thunderstorms with gusty winds. These would be more likely west of the Valley as the front crosses earlier in the afternoon. The threat for widespread severe storms is pretty low, but it’s entirely possible of a storm or two to get a little rambunctious.

04-14-spc-day3-outlook

There will also be plenty of moisture available so a brief downpour wouldn’t be out of the question.

Temperatures Easter Sunday will top out in the upper 70s ahead of the cold front. Chances for showers and storms will diminish toward evening.

NEXT WEEK
High pressure builds back in on Monday and sunshine returns. Temperatures will take a hit behind Easter’s cold front with highs Monday afternoon probably in the upper 60s.

After another fine spring day on Tuesday, our weather will turn more active as we head into mid week with an unsettled weather pattern setting up to bring showers and storms back to the forecast.

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