Local Radar

Local Radar Image

Recent News Posts


Get Notified of updates


Simply enter your email address below to receive notifications via email when new stories are published here.


 



Tuscarawas Weather Network is proud to be a Weather Ready Nation Ambassador
Tuscarawas Weather Network is proud to be selected as a Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.


Did you know that the Tuscarawas Weather Network is funded by people just like you?
We rely on ads and individual donations to offset the cost of computer hardware and software as well as data subscription services and other expenses to bring you the only weather resource devoted to the Tuscarawas Valley area. PayPal allows you to make a one-time donation or set up a small monthly recurring donation. We have several people give $5 or $10 a month. A recurring donation really helps keep the weather information flowing.

If you enjoy our website, the weather radars, maps, daily weather stories, and all of the other information we offer, then please consider making a donation or setting up a recurring donation to help keep us going. We appreciate your support!





Warm today; Warmer tomorrow, then rain and storm chances increase for the latter part of the week

We’re at the halfway point in May…. already. So far, the month has been running cooler than average by three degrees, according to official records kept at the airport in New Philadelphia.

Average temperature the first 15 days came in at 54.5 degrees. We will make up some ground temperature wise over the next 5 or 6 days when temperatures are expected to be above average for a change.

TODAY & WEDNESDAY
Plenty of sunshine again today, but temperatures will be noticeably warmer this afternoon. Most neighborhoods across the Tuscarawas Valley will top out in the low 80s north – mid 80s in our southern communities.

05-16-ndfd-day1-max-temps

We have a fairly dry atmosphere in place this morning, but dew points will begin to creep up mid day with a warm front crossing and winds shift out of the southwest.

Our weather stays dry and warm tonight with most areas only dropping off to the mid 60s by Wednesday morning.

With the warmer start to Wednesday and the valley being firmly in the warm sector behind today’s warm front, temperatures on Wednesday will be more like July. Temperatures across the Valley will approach, and probably exceed, the upper 80s tomorrow afternoon. I wouldn’t be at all surprised that most neighborhoods along and south of New Phila see 90 degrees.

It will also turn somewhat breezy but with winds coming out of the south, it will be a warm one. And, a bit more humid as dew points climb to the mid 60s. Some of those afternoon winds might approach 20 – 25 mph.

Normally this would be a recipe for showers and storms, but with a ‘capped’ atmosphere overhead and not much in the way of a trigger to get storms going, we won’t see that tomorrow.

THURSDAY & FRIDAY
Thursday should start out decent with a few more clouds but still quite warm. A weak cold front will sink southeast and that will bring a threat for showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon. Any showers and/or storms look to be isolated in nature so, for now, I’ll go with a low chance on Thursday.

By Friday things become a little less clear, forecast wise. That cold front will stall *somewhere* in Ohio. I say somewhere because the GFS and European show different ideas on where that might be.

The GFS (shown here) keeps the stalled front far enough south to keep showers and storms along and south of I-70.

05-16-gfs-84hr-ptype

The European wants to bring it further north through central Ohio, which would mean showers and storms for the Valley. With thus much uncertainty we will need to keep the risk for showers and storms going again on Friday for now. I may change our rain chances in future forecasts depending on how this plays out.

Temperatures on Friday will be cooler with highs in the upper 70s behind the cold front.

WEEKEND
Saturday brings a similar conundrum on Friday. Most modeling keeps the next system to our west Saturday which would bring a drier day. Still, I think our chances for showers and storms will increase mid to late afternoon as low pressure approaches from the west.

Regardless of Saturday’s rain, Sunday looks to be the wetter day of the weekend as low pressure crosses the Great Lakes and drags a cold front across Ohio.

05-16-gfs-138hr-ptype

I expect fairly good chances for showers and storms on Sunday but it’s still pretty far out for any ideas in regards to timing.

LONGER RANGE
The relatively warmer temperatures will revert back to a cooler pattern next week after Sunday’s cold front. Keep in mind that our average high in the latter part of May is in the mid 70s, so cooler temperatures are relative.

Still, our computer models are honing in on a cooler pattern for next week.

05-16-gfs-7day-500mb-heights

Translated into numbers, this could mean daytime highs in the mid to upper 60s through the end of May and maybe even the first week or so of June.

05-16-ecmwf-15day-temps

The bottom line? Enjoy these next few days of warm, summerlike weather. The longer term looks like a return to below average temperatures to end the month.

JE

Email this to someonePrint this pageShare on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterPin on Pinterest
Bookmark the permalink.

Comments are closed.



STAY INFORMED OF OUR LOCAL TUSCARAWAS VALLEY WEATHER WITH THE AREA'S ONLY LOCAL WEATHER RESOURCE
WINTER IS COMING and it's even more important to keep up with our local weather to plan your days. Sign up by entering your email address below to receive an email when I update our local weather blog. You can unsubscribe to email notifications at any time. (I do not sell or share email addresses with ANYONE)


 

Recent posts....

A couple of rainy and thundery days; Showers and storms return for the holiday weekend May 24, 2017

Showers and maybe even a few thunderstorms will return to east-central Ohio today as a deepening low pressure system meanders across the region. As weak disturbances ride along with this system, scattered showers will develop and through the rest of … Continue reading

NWS Climate Prediction Center: Warmer than average summer for east-central Ohio May 22, 2017

The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center.s latest summer outlook for the US is forecasting warmer than average temperatures for east-central Ohio. The summer forecast includes meteorological summer – the months of June, July, and August. It also states that … Continue reading

A couple of nice days ahead before rain chances move back in mid week May 22, 2017

A cold front continues moving east this morning and high pressure will build allowing for drier air to settle in over the region. Today will bring a mix of sun and clouds along with afternoon temperatures cooler than average for … Continue reading

A few showers and storms possible today and remain through the weekend May 19, 2017

A cold front north of the Tuscarawas Valley will continue dropping south today eventually becoming hung up near the Ohio River this afternoon. The front will be the focus of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon for those areas south of I-70. … Continue reading

Not quite as warm today with spotty showers and storms late; Cooler temperatures follow a weekend cold front May 18, 2017

After a very warm and summer-like start to the day, temperatures once again will top out above average this afternoon, although not quite as warm as yesterday’s 88 degrees. With these warm temperatures at the surface, it’s even a little … Continue reading


 

© 2014 Tuscarawas Weather Network. All rights Reserved

Although every effort has been made to provide timely and accurate weather information on this web site, the information presented here is for personal use only and should not be used to make critical life or death decisions, or decisions relating to the protection of property. If you find yourself in the path of threatening or severe weather listen to official information and advisories provided by your local Emergency Management Agency and your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. Disclaimer and Terms of Use