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A break in the rain but spotty showers and storms return this afternoon

Although we were fortunate here in east-central Ohio and did not get much in the way of any severe weather yesterday, we did receive an impressive amount of rainfall over the past 24 hours. Many of our northern communities received well over two inches of rain since yesterday.

06-19-24hr-rain-totals

The area was getting a bit dry and to be honest, we certainly needed a good rain. It’s good that most of the area was on the dry side. If the ground would have been wet from previous rain, we would probably be dealing with some flood issues with this much rain.

Monday will start out muggy but that cold front that was responsible for all of yesterday’s storminess will finally drop southeast of the region later this morning. It will take the better part of the morning before the boundary shifts south of the Valley.

06-19-am-fronts

We should get a brief break in precipitation and maybe even a few peaks of sun this morning before scattered popup showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon again with the passing of an upper level disturbance.

Expect cumulus to increase this afternoon as we warm up to the upper 70s and a small chance for a shower or storm in any one spot. Lack of any real instability will keep any thunderstorms that may develop today below severe criteria.

The good news is temperatures will be cooler and the humidity will lessen behind the cold front.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
A number of disturbances will swing through Tuesday and Wednesday. It appears that we will get a short break in the rain again at least for the morning part of the day on Tuesday as a weak upper level high builds in. However, the odds for another round of scattered rain showers and thunder will once again increase in the afternoon with once of those disturbances.

Tuesday will also bring breezy west wind to around 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Temperatures should remain below average with most communities in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees.

Spotty showers and thunderstorms chances continue Tuesday night but we dry out again on Wednesday with a mix of sun and clouds. With the addition of some sunshine we’ll tack on a couple of degrees for the afternoon high.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
A warm front will lift north through east central Ohio sometime on Thursday and this will probably spark another round of showers and thunderstorms late in the day. Our computer models are not agreeing on exactly when the warm front crosses with some bringing it as late as Thursday night.

For now, we’ll go with a dry day Thursday but will increase the odds for showers and storms Thursday evening and night.

With the warm front, we’ll be right back to the hot and humid summertime weather with highs in the upper 80s on Thursday.

Showers and thunderstorms are likely again on Friday with a cold front.

PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK
The Tuscarawas Valley area will have several opportunities fr additional rainfall this week. Current projections from the NWSWPC indicate the possibility for an additional inch of rain is possible through Friday.

06-19-wpc-5day-precip

ROVER FORECAST
As one would expect with the amounts of rain overnight and this week, water levels will rise in response but should remain below flood stage according to the National Weather Service.

06-19-tusky-hydrograph

SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS
Although rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday and Tuesday, no severe thunderstorms are expected over the next 72 hours.

LONGER RANGE
Temperature will slowly increase through the week behind today’s cold front peaking on Thursday. Conditions should dry out Saturday behind the front with cooler temperatures through next week.

06-19-ecmwf-15day-temps

Mid range temperature ensembles indicate a cooler period with below average temperatures to end June before warming back to around average to start July.

RADAR ANNOUNCEMENT
The WSR-88D radar at the National Weather Service Pittsburgh office will be offline today (Monday) and remain down through much of this week while technicians install important upgrades to the system. Technicians will install a new signal processor, which replaces obsolete technology, improves processing speed and data quality, provides added functionality, and supports IT security.

During the outage, radar coverage is available from adjacent radar sites including Cleveland, Ohio, Charleston, West Virginia, Pittsburgh Terminal Doppler Weather Radar, State College, Pennsylvania, and Wilmington, Ohio

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