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Hot and muggy conditions for Saturday while Father’s Day brings the threat for strong to severe storms

This is the TuscWeather.net weather blog for Friday, June 16, 2017

I would just like to take a minute to remind folks that tonight is opening night at Trumpet in the Land. Tuscarawas County residents can attend tonight’s performance for only $5.00. Tickets are available at the box office ¬†located at 1600 Trumpet Drive NE in New Philadelphia, or you can pick them up at the Tuscarawas County Convention and Visitors Bureau Welcome Center, 124 E. High Street in New Phila. The show starts at 8:30 PM.

TuscWeather.net is the official weather information provider for Trumpet in the Land.

Friday and Saturday will bring a break in our recently active weather pattern with an area of weak high pressure overhead. Although temperatures this afternoon will still be in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees, dew points will be a little more comfortable – low 60s. That’s just a tad muggy but not nearly as humid as the last few days.

06-16-ndfd-day1-max-temps.gif

A passing disturbance will also contribute some clouds, but any precipitation associated with this bump should stay south of the Tuscarawas Valley.

We’ll be right back to the hot and humid regime again on Saturday. Winds will shift more southerly tomorrow and bring back that warm tropical air to east-central Ohio. Expect afternoon temperatures around 90 degrees across most of the Valley on Saturday.

The dew points will also creep back up to around 70 degrees in the afternoon, so another muggy summertime day. With increasing afternoon humidity, we’ll see more clouds, but still plenty of sunshine.

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ON FATHER’S DAY

We’ve been talking about this since the start of the week and the models are beginning to get a decent handle on Sunday’s outlook. A strong cold front will approach east-central Ohio Sunday morning.

06-16-gfs-54hr-ptype

The air ahead of the front will be warm, humid, and moderately unstable. With an approaching strong front, it’s a recipe for strong to severe thunderstorms.

The Storm Prediction Center has all of east-central Ohio – including the Tuscarawas Valley region – under a slight (2/5) risk for severe thunderstorms on Sunday

06-16-spc-day3-outlook

Primary threats will be from gusty winds and large (1-inch or more) hail. The risk for tornadoes is low – BUT NOT ZERO.

06-16-tusc-risk

TIMING
The models disagree somewhat regarding timing of the front, but as I see things today, I would expect to see showers and thunderstorms approaching the region just after the lunch hour on Sunday. The threat for strong to severe storms will continue into Sunday evening.

If you have outdoor plans on Father’s Day, keep up with the latest weather information as we get further into the weekend. You may need to change your plans.

MONDAY – WEDNESDAY
Low pressure gets hung up south of the region Monday keeping the threat for showers in the mid range forecast. Temperatures and humidity, however, will return to around average through Wednesday with highs around 80 degrees.

With low pressure persisting through the first half of the week, showers we will need to keep a low threat for spotty showers going into Tuesday. Another cold front crossing on Wednesday will also add thunderstorms to the mix.

Have a great weekend and stay informed of the weather on Sunday.

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