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Warm and humid today with isolated strong storms and heavy rain in east-central Ohio

I read a ton of comments on our social media sites yesterday regarding the nearly constant rumble of thunder. Data indicates that yesterday’s storm produced an impressive amount of cloud-to-cloud lightning overhead.

06-14-opc-lightning-data

The nearly constant lightning was heard over much of the Valley area. I also experienced it here south of New Phila. It is unusual for this to occur here in our neck of the woods, but not unheard of either.

The weak front that brought showers and thunderstorms to east-central Ohio on Tuesday will sink a bit further south across eastern Ohio today. Eventually, the boundary will stall out northwest to southeast and once again, showers and thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening.

There is not a whole lot of air movement at the surface or upstairs in the upper levels. So much like Tuesday’s storms, there is an abundant amount of moisture available and any storms today will be slow-movers. While not everyone will see rain today, those that do could end up on the receiving end of some torrential downpours.

06-14-wpc

The Storm Prediction Center has most of Ohio under a low risk for severe thunderstorms. The exception is in extreme northwest Ohio where the severe risk is higher (Yellow slight risk). Hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats, but as mentioned, heavy rainfall may also produce localized flash flooding.

06-14-spc-day1-outlook

It is difficult to determine exactly where today’s storms will set up. Storm initiation will depend primarily on how far south our frontal boundary decides to sink. I’ve kept a relatively low chance through the early afternoon and increased chances for late afternoon and early this evening.

Showers and thunderstorms will taper off after sunset late this evening with the weakening instability and loss of daytime heating.

Temperatures today will end up a couple of degrees cooler than Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s. However, dew points will be a couple of degrees higher which will make for another muggy summer day in the Valley.

06-14-ndfd-day1-max-temps

That weak frontal boundary will begin moving back north late tonight and Thursday morning in advance of low pressure and a cold front approaching from the west. Once again, showers and thunderstorm chances will increase Thursday afternoon becoming likely late in the afternoon and evening. Tomorrow will be another day with a low risk for isolated severe thunderstorms capable of gusty wind and hail. Heavy rainfall is also on the books.

On Friday we will get a break for all this active weather as showers and thunderstorms exit east. There may be a few lingering showers early Friday morning but these should exit by 8 or 9 am. The afternoon looks like it will be a nice summer day with a mix of sun and clouds and temperatures in the upper 80s.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK
Showers and storms will be possible again on Saturday with a disturbance rippling through. Still, it will be another warm summer day with a mix of sun and clouds. Afternoon highs should get to the upper 80 again.

A weather game changer looks to arrive sometime Sunday in the form of a strong cold front. Again, showers and thunderstorms will be a good bet and I suspect a round of severe storms.

Temperatures will cool quite a bit behind Sunday’s front for Monday. And, the more comfortable weather will remain through much of next week. If you’re not a fan of this hot muggy weather, this is welcome news.

06-14-ecmwf-15day-temps

Temperatures actually look pleasant through much of next week warming as we get to the weekend.

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3 Responses to Warm and humid today with isolated strong storms and heavy rain in east-central Ohio

  1. Jan thomas says:

    Thanks for the broadcasts.

  2. Jan thomas says:

    Depend on your forecasts. Thanks.

  3. Jane Ann Sears says:

    You guys are so appreciated. Thank you for all your work.



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