Local Radar

Local Radar Image

Recent News Posts

Tuscarawas Weather Network is proud to be a Weather Ready Nation Ambassador
Tuscarawas Weather Network is proud to be selected as a Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador.

Did you know that the Tuscarawas Weather Network is funded by people just like you?
We rely on ads and individual donations to offset the cost of computer hardware and software as well as data subscription services and other expenses to bring you the only weather resource devoted to the Tuscarawas Valley area. PayPal allows you to make a one-time donation or set up a small monthly recurring donation. We have several people give $5 or $10 a month. A recurring donation really helps keep the weather information flowing.

If you enjoy our website, the weather radars, maps, daily weather stories, and all of the other information we offer, then please consider making a donation or setting up a recurring donation to help keep us going. We appreciate your support!

Thursday morning update for today’s severe threat and the potential for heavy rain

The first of two periods of showers and thunderstorms is underway this morning. This morning’s activity is rather unorganized – the result of a somewhat more stable atmosphere this early in the day.

And, while this first encounter is not all that impressive, with the soupy atmosphere in place, it will have the potential to put down some heavy rainfall in spots before it exits east of the region by mid morning.

A lull in activity will follow once this first batch of activity clears the region followed by a second round of showers and storms later this afternoon.

The questions then become how long will the lull in activity last and how much sun are we likely to see early this afternoon.

A second – and quite possibly more substantial – round of showers and thunderstorms is likely to develop later this afternoon. This second batch is the one we will need to pay attention too – depending on whether the atmosphere has enough time and energy to ‘recharge’.

The Storm Prediction Center has our area highlighted in the ‘slight’ or standard risk for severe storms this afternoon.


This morning’s guidance shows a fairly thick cloud deck through much of the day which would limit the amount of sunshine and heating. Still, instability will remain elevated overhead this afternoon and it wouldn’t take much to spark a few scattered strong thunderstorms.

The main severe threat will come from damaging wind gusts. The threat for large hail is low as is the threat for tornadoes. That doesn’t rule hail and tornadoes out completely but these threats are lower than the threat for gusty winds.

The biggest concern today will be the heavy rain potential. As you can feel if you have spent any time outside this morning, it is very humid. There is plenty of moisture in the atmosphere available for heavy rain.

ANY thunderstorms today whether they’re severe or not, will be capable of producing torrential rainfall. AND, this is a slow-moving system, so heavy rain could fall for a longer periods over the same areas (Training). These training showers and storms dramatically increase the flash flood potential across central Tuscarawas County.


The risk for severe storms is modest at best – depending on whether we see any amount of sun or not.

Clouds will be our friend today and hopefully we won’t have to deal with any damaging wind. With the ground already saturated from recent heavy rainfall and trees are weakened. Any strong winds will make it pretty easy to bring some down.

Heavy rain will be the big problem this afternoon and as a precaution, the National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood WATCH for all of east-central Ohio until 11:00 a.m. Friday.


There remains plenty of differences between models in regards to timing. The majority do agree on a lull in widespread showers and storms through mid afternoon. Showers and storms look to ramp up by early evening peaking at around sunset before tapering off tonight.

Yet another upper level disturbance together with an approaching cold front will keep shower and thunderstorm chances going through the overnight and into early Friday afternoon.

Portions of east-central Ohio are rips for heavy rainfall. I think most of the Tuscarawas Valley can expect 1 to 2 inches of rain over the next 36 hours (ending Friday evening).


Rain today and Friday will work to keep water levels along the Tuscarawas elevated through the weekend.


I’ll have updates throughout the day on our Twitter and Facebook pages.

What about the weekend weather? Yesterday’s blog has the rest of my forecast for the weekend and early next week.

Email this to someonePrint this pageShare on FacebookShare on Google+Tweet about this on TwitterPin on Pinterest
Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Thursday morning update for today’s severe threat and the potential for heavy rain

  1. Todd Trimble says:

    Thank you as always for the great weather posts.
    Talk soon.

Recent posts....

After some light showers today, a cooler but mostly sunny weekend November 30, 2017

After a sunny and mild start to our Thursday, showers will push in from the northwest with a cold front this afternoon. The hi-res model shows us staying dry through lunch time with showers moving in shortly after. Although rain … Continue reading

Mild and sunny through mid week; Rain chances return on Thursday then clear out for the weekend November 27, 2017

I hope everyone in the Valley enjoyed the long Thanksgiving weekend. Pleasant weather will highlight the majority of these last November days and give you plenty of opportunities to finish up your outdoor cleanup and decorating. We will see a … Continue reading

Thanksgiving Week in the Valley: Generally chilly temperatures with plenty of sun November 20, 2017

After a busy weather weekend, our weather across east-central Ohio settled down overnight as high pressure shifted east pushing the rain and snow showers to the Atlantic Coast. Monday will bring chilly temperatures but plentiful sunshine. We won’t do much … Continue reading

SUNDAY UPDATE: Regional Rain Totals for the Past 36 Hours November 19, 2017

Weather across east-central Ohio over the past 24 to 36 hours has been fairly active with some gusty wind and a ton of rainfall. All forecasts for the amount of rain came in well short of what we eventually ended … Continue reading

Saturday Update: Colder air arrives tonight; Scattered snow showers, gusty wind for Sunday November 18, 2017

HIGHLIGHTS: Periods of rain along with a few isolated thunderstorms are expected today as low pressure moves toward the region. A strong cold front will cross east-central Ohio tonight bringing gusty winds and a changeover to snow showers by early … Continue reading


2014 Tuscarawas Weather Network. All rights Reserved

Although every effort has been made to provide timely and accurate weather information on this web site, the information presented here is for personal use only and should not be used to make critical life or death decisions, or decisions relating to the protection of property. If you find yourself in the path of threatening or severe weather listen to official information and advisories provided by your local Emergency Management Agency and your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. Disclaimer and Terms of Use