Midweek storm system may bring winter weather impacts to the Valley

No weather worries today with high pressure providing clear sunny skies and dry conditions. Although temperatures are a little colder than normal today behind last night’s cold front, the sunshine offsets the winter chill today.

Even with the cold temperatures, strong daytime sun will work its magic today and clean up any of those slick spots on the roads from this morning.

A quick-moving little disturbance will cross the Great Lakes tonight and will likely bring mostly light snow showers to east-central Ohio after midnight. These will exit quickly Tuesday morning with most neighborhoods ending up with under an inch of additional snow.

Total snowfall through Tuesday afternoon. Most communities in the Tuscarawas Valley will end up with less than an inch of new snow.

A dry spell should set up Tuesday afternoon as weak high pressure crosses. Despite the high, abundant cirrus will keep sunshine limited through the better part of the day. A little extra warm air on the back side of the high will afternoon highs in the mid 30s.

The next storm system will exit out of the Plains and take a track across the Ohio Valley and bring the prospects for a mixed bag of wintry precipitation Tuesday night and Wednesday.

GFS MODEL at Wednesday morning (54HR) with precipitation types and approximate locations. Position of the storm system will be critical in determining types and locations of rain/snow/sleet.

There are still considerable differences between the main models as to the exact track of this system. The track north or south of the Ohio River will be the main factor in the types of precipitation as well as the timing for those types as the storm crosses east-central Ohio.

Generally speaking, snow will be the main precipitation type north of I-80 in Ohio while ice will likely become a factor south of I-70. Somewhere in the middle of all this, a messy mix of snow, rain, and freezing rain for at least portions of east-central Ohio.

Details on how this may all play out for us here in the Valley should start to come into better focus over the next 24 hours. For now, I am counting for periods of rain, freezing rain and snow with this storm. Timing of p-types will determine local travel impacts. I would expect to see NWS winter weather headlines issued over the next 24 hours or so regarding  this storm.

The system exits Wednesday night with colder air bringing nighttime temperatures back to the mid teens.

A brief calm period should arrive on Thursday. Temperatures will be colder than average, but we will get into some occasional sun.

The next weather system will be a cold front crossing the Great Lakes Friday-Friday night. Although most of the snow shower activity associated with this system should keep to our north, we will need to keep at least moderate chances for occasional snow showers here in the Valley through the period.

This far out it’s a bit unclear on how much cold air will make its way into and around the Valley area, so for now have pretty much went with rain/snow showers through the weekend. Confidence will increase later in the week as guidance comes more into focus.

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