A Monday morning look at this week’s Tuscarawas Valley weather

As promised, cooler and much less humid air has arrived in east-central Ohio. The Tuscarawas Valley area will enjoy a bright mostly sunny day with afternoon temperatures slightly below average for a change. High temperatures today will hover around 72 degrees.

Winds out of the west will get a little breezy today and gusts could reach 20/25 mph or so at times.

Chances for showers and perhaps even a rumble or two of thunder will arrive on Tuesday with a cold front sinking south through Ohio. I don’t think this will be a widespread washout and most of the rain looks to be fairly scattered.

Nothing strong or severe looks likely tomorrow. And total rainfall is projected to be a couple of tenths. Some neighborhoods may not get any rain at all.

Simulated radar snapshot from the high-resolution NAM (North American Model) at 1:00 PM Tuesday indicates hit-or-miss showers through much of the afternoon.

With clouds and occasional peeks of sun, temperatures will again stay fairly cool with highs similar to today.

Showers and any storms will exit south of the region Tuesday evening. High pressure will again build over the region returning sunshine to the Valley. Temperatures on Wednesday will be chilly by early June standards with afternoon highs only reaching the upper 60s.

The sunshine will continue on Thursday with afternoon temperatures recovering to the upper 70s.

Questions start to appear in regards to the mid-range forecast period with differences in modelling ideas. They do agree that a low pressure system will impact the region Thursday night into Friday but timing and placement of the system is yet to be settled.

The GFS and Canadian lift a weak warm front into east-central Ohio and some shower activity ahead of the low. The Euro insists on a drier solution. Since the GFS and Canadian have been pretty consistent with the weak front feature for the last several runs, I have a bit more confidence that this is the better scenario.

I do not think the weekend will be a washout but showers and a few thunderstorms will occasionally visit. Temperatures should hover around the upper 70s.



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