Scattered showers from a crossing upper-level disturbance will diminish through the rest of this morning. Lingering cloud cover will initially limit destabilisation but midday warming and abundant moisture will eventually lead to the development of thunderstorms as a cold front approaches later in the day.
12:45PM UPDATE | The Storm Prediction Center has downgraded the threat for severe storms to a marginal risk (1/5) in all areas of Ohio except for a small area in northeast Ohio with their noon update. A Marginal Risk means that isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible.
All severe modes will be in play this afternoon and evening. The biggest threat will come from damaging wind gusts of 58 mph or better in the strongest storms. There is a lesser threat for large hail. Tornadoes are not much of a concern.
Abundant moisture at the surface and drier air aloft will limit thunderstorm coverage. But, it will also allow the potential for some storms to lift fairly high and pull down upper-level winds. While just about all areas will get into some thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, severe storms will likely be scattered across east-central Ohio.
TIMING
High resolution guidance suggests the best odds for scattered strong storms will be mid-afternoon into early this evening. The threat for showers and storms will exit the area as the front travels south of the area.
Hi-res futurecast radar through 1:00 am Thursday:
High pressure will dominate our weather Thursday and Friday bringing us dry and sunny conditions. Temperatures will hover around 80 degrees to end the work week.
HEATING UP OVER THE WEEKEND
High pressure will shift east over the weekend setting up a warm, moist southerly flow over the region. Temperatures and dew points will increase into the low 80s on Saturday – upper 80s to near 90 on Father’s Day.
Not only will it be increasingly warm, but southern moisture will bring summertime humidity back to the Valley. You’ll want to spend the day with dad at a pool or lake on Father’s Day.
Hot temperatures and muggy conditions will continue into Monday to begin the new work week.
