Scattered showers and storms through Tuesday; Dry and sunny Wednesday

Upper-level low pressure will shift from the OH/PA line to the east today keeping the threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms in our forecast today. Much like yesterday, the day won’t be a washout but you may need an umbrella at some point this afternoon and evening.

Any activity that happens to move into your neighborhood later today will be slow-moving and capable of putting down some heavy rain. Small hail is also something we’ll need to watch for with today’s storms. Hi-res futurecast radar through midnight:

Our shower and thunderstorm chances will diminish after sunset this evening and the loss of daytime heating. Temperatures this afternoon will also be about the same as yesterday with afternoon highs around 84.

As the upper low continues to track northeast and away from east-central Ohio on Tuesday we will see a decline in our odds for showers and storms. Although shower and storm coverage will be much less on Tuesday, we may still see a quick-hitting shower or storm during the mid-afternoon.

Tuesday temperatures will again reach the mid-80s.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
High pressure will begin building Tuesday night to bring us a nice summer day on Wednesday. It will also probably be our only day without at least the chance for showers and storms this week. With plenty of sunshine, afternoon temperatures will reach 85/87 degrees in most areas.

The dry sunny weather won’t last long. A warm front will lift through east-central Ohio late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. Warm, moist Gulf air will flow into the region ahead of a low-pressure system moving east out of the Plains. The end result will be plenty of moisture for showers and thunderstorms to tap into Thursday afternoon.

Abundant Gulf moisture will be available on Thursday to fuel thunderstorms with pockets of heavy rain.

I’ve mentioned the potential for severe weather on Thursday depending on timing. Our computer models are now beginning to slow the progression of a cold front until Thursday night. Should this solution be correct, the threat for strong to severe storms on Thursday would not be as nearly concerning. However, we will continue to watch this feature unfold over the next couple of days.

Once the cold front crosses the region Thursday night – Friday morning and low-pressure shifts east, we should begin to see some drying by Friday afternoon.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK
High pressure will slowly take over for the weekend. Expect some residual cloudiness on Saturday and cooler temperatures. Saturday’s high will only get to around 80 degrees.

By Sunday high pressure will be firmly in control to bring us a sunny day. Temperatures on Sunday will remain cooler than average with afternoon highs in the low 80s.

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