High pressure will maintain dry and comfortable conditions today. The next chance for showers and storms arrives Wednesday. Temperatures will return to seasonal levels for the balance of the week.
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High pressure over Virginia will bring one more mild day to the Valley. We will see a decent amount of sunshine this morning but mid/high level clouds will increase during the afternoon as a warm front moves through east-central Ohio. With such a dry airmass in place, chances for any rain associated with the front is practically zero here in the Valley.
With a warm southerly breeze setting up today, temperatures will be much warmer than yesterday and most of our neighborhoods should have little trouble getting to the upper 70s this afternoon.
We will remain dry and pleasant this evening and through at least the first half of tonight. Chances for rain showers will gradually increase as dawn approaches with an upper-level disturbance. Those rain chances will continue to creep upwards through the morning hours as a cold front makes it’s way closer to the region. Showers and thunderstorms will become likely locally by the afternoon.
Any severe storms associated with Wednesday’s front should keep south of I-70. Still, with just a bit of instability and a touch of upper-level shear, a rambunctious storm or two can’t be ruled out. Currently, the Storm Prediction Center has our area highlighted for a Marginal Risk (1/5) for severe weather tomorrow.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
Rain and thunderstorm activity will lessen northwest to southeast Wednesday night as the front clears the region. Current modeling stalls the front south and along the Ohio River and this may keep a few isolated showers hanging around Thursday morning. High pressure building overhead will keep the odds for rain low at best.
There will not be much – if any – temperature change behind this front. High pressure will remain over the region through the end of the week which means dry and fair weather is likely to continue into the weekend.
The extended range indicates that an upper-level storm system will wander into the Ohio Valley through the first part of next week. For now, I’ve kept Sunday dry because even with moisture increasing over the region, the dry air in place will make it difficult for any precipitation. By Monday, though, odds for showers and storms look much better as moisture finally overcomes.
Many local farmers are concerned about rain and opportunities for planting. Here is the National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center rain forecast for the next 7 days: