Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible today with a weak disturbance before high pressure returns dry weather on Thursday.
Our weather turns more humid today as we move into a more summerlike weather pattern this week. A weak frontal boundary will move south over Lake Erie this afternoon but most of any showers or storms with this feature should keep north of the Valley. I can’t completely rule out a renegade shower or storm at some point during the afternoon and evening, but the odds are pretty low.
Otherwise, expect a good deal of sun today and afternoon temperatures topping out in the mid-80s.
Dry and mostly clear conditions will continue through Thursday night. Tomorrow looks like another bright summer day with highs again in the mid-80s.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
We will start to see the humidity really kick in on Friday as a warm front lifts through east-central Ohio northward toward Lake Erie. Moist, unstable air will flow in behind the front for the weekend setting us up for a typical summertime pattern through the weekend.
While there will be plenty more dry time than wet, random scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible just about anywhere at any time Saturday and Sunday. It’s just not possible to tell where and when a storm will form but generally the best times to see a storm in any one neighborhood would be in the warmest part of the day – afternoon and evening.
Although it’s a bit uncertain yet, Sunday may be the best day most of the area gets in on a thunderstorm with a weak cold front. Temperatures behind the front won’t cool off much more than a few degrees, but the front will usher in a drier airmass.
Dew points will start to come down late in the day Sunday and Monday will bring much more pleasant humidity levels back to the Valley. Afternoon highs in the mid-80s on Saturday, then cooling a bit to the low-80s for Sunday and Monday.
INDEPENDENCE DAY OUTLOOK
Warm temperatures and a touch of humidity will return by Tuesday under a mix of sun and clouds. The warm muggy pattern looks to persist through Wednesday. Again, with more moisture in the air, the threat for random popup showers and thunderstorms returns for the Fourth of July.
Generally speaking, odds for us getting into any 90-degree days is fairly low through the week. With the recent rain and the ground being so wet, it will be tough for the sun to warm the ground enough for us to reach 90° as we end June and get to the first week or so of July. I won’t say it’s impossible, but I think the odds of seeing a 90° day over the next ten days is pretty low.
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
- Wednesday: No severe weather is likely
- Thursday: No severe weather is likely
- Friday: No severe weather is likely