Dry weather and seasonal temperatures through midweek

Widespread rain showers moving through the Valley this morning as low pressure over the Great Lakes drags a cold front through the region. The front will be east of our area by afternoon and high pressure will build in behind it bringing an end to the rain. Clouds will begin to thin through the afternoon as drier air works in overhead and we will even get into some sun later today.

It will also remain breezy today with southwest winds 7 to 15 mph. Occasional gusts can be as high as 25 mph.

GFS DEPICTION of our cold front at 5:00 PM this evening.

Temperatures in the upper 50s this morning won’t warm much today. Highs this afternoon will only warm up to the low 60s despite the sunshine later. We will stay dry overnight with temperatures pretty close to seasonal averages for this date. The wind will remain gusty overnight as well.

Total rainfall for the area should come in at a half-inch to three-quarters of an inch.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
High pressure will keep dry weather and sunny conditions going. West winds will continue to be gusty Wednesday but they will finally subside Wednesday night. Despite the sunshine, temperatures will be cooler with afternoon highs around 60°.

Dry and mostly sunny weather will continue on Thursday. Afternoon highs will warm a bit to the mid-60s ahead of the next frontal system due Friday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
All of the models are doing a crappy job with the mid-range forecast and the next front. It appears that a cold front will approach Thursday night bringing an increase in clouds. We will need to bring in low odds for a few showers on Friday as the front crosses the region. There is not a lot of moisture with this system, so not expecting much in the way of coverage.

Saturday looks dry for now but scattered showers may return with another wave of low pressure on Sunday. Confidence in the weekend outlook is pretty low at this point and changes to the forecast are pretty much guaranteed.

NEXT WEEK
Climate and long-range modeling suggests that temperatures should settle to around average through the end of the month with slightly higher odds for additional rain through the period.

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