Quiet weekend weather; Blast of cold next week

Published 10:13 AM EST 11/08/2019
Edited 12:13 PM EST 11/08/2019

High pressure building overhead will bring a mostly sunny Friday. A northwest flow over the Great Lakes will confine snow showers to the snow belt counties today. Despite the sunshine, temperatures locally will be downright cold today. Afternoon highs will only reach the upper 30s. The northwest breeze will make it feel about ten degrees colder.

It will remain dry and cold overnight. Lows locally will drop to the low-20s pre-dawn Saturday. High pressure will keep dry conditions and moderating temperatures through the weekend. Temperatures Saturday will likely reach the low-40s and by Sunday we’ll be back to the low-50s.

The next storm system to affect the Valley will approach Sunday night. Initially, there does not appear to be significant moisture with the system’s cold front Sunday night. However, the system will tap into Gulf moisture by mid-day Monday allowing showers to spread into east-central Ohio. As this moisture interacts with cold air diving south behind the front, rain showers will likely change to snow by the afternoon.

EUROPEAN MODEL idea for late-day Monday indicates that rain will transition to snow showers as cold air spreads into eastern Ohio behind a strong cold front. While specifics are still in question, the system will leave behind the coldest air of the season so far.

It’s a bit too early for specifics yet, but Monday could be a messy day for travel – especially during the late-day commute home. Details will come into focus over the weekend and we’ll have a better idea of what’s in store for us by Sunday.

Confidence is high, though, regarding the potent cold air that will arrive with this system. Afternoon highs on Tuesday may not get to 30° and nighttime low may dip well into the teens Tuesday night. The record low for Tuesday night (Actually, Wednesday morning) is 18° set in 1986 and there is a very good chance we could be colder by a couple of degrees.

Temperatures will slowly increase through the remainder of the week but it will remain much colder than average for the period.

Once we get past next week’s arctic cold, the chilly temperature pattern looks to extend beyond mid-month. Given all the cold air that’s expected over the next two weeks, it isn’t crazy to think there can be at least a few good opportunities for impactful snow.

Have a great weekend!

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