Local Low Temperature Records are in Jeopardy the Next Couple of Days

Not only is the Valley likely to see measurable snowfall through Wednesday morning (see this update for details), but temperatures locally will fall to record territory during the next few days. Highs today (Monday) will seem balmy compared to the cold that’s headed our way tonight.

Monday morning’s run of the Short Range Ensemble Forecast model (NWS) temperature trend over the next 48 hours. The straight blue line represents 32° (freezing). Each colored line represents a single model solution. The dark line represents the mean average of all 21 ensemble models.

Temperatures tonight will take a nose-dive behind a strong arctic cold front. And, they will remain cold through the end of the week. Several local cold temperature records will be threatened.

  • The first record to watch will be Tuesday’s maximum high temperature. The forecast calls for a high around 24°. If that proves to be the case, it will be the coldest high temperature on record at New Phila for 11/12. The current record low high is 34° set in 2013.
  • The next record will be Tuesday the night/Wednesday morning low. The forecast is for around 15°. The record low for Wednesday 11/13 is 18° set in 1986.
  • The Wednesday night/Thursday morning record low should remain in place at 11° set in 1986. The low temperature for the period is slated to be around 24° – cold than we normally are for mid-November but not a record.

If you’re spending any time outdoors wind chills will be a factor as well – especially Wednesday. Single-digit wind chills are possible Wednesday morning.

NOTE: Temperature records and forecast temperatures stated above are observations at Harry Clever Field in New Philadelphia. Records used from the latest National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) grids and compare to the record database (from ThreadEx).

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