The last week of January is setting up to be a boring and uneventful week weather-wise here in the Valley. Today will bring a typical cloudy gray day to the area as a weak upper-level disturbance dips south from Lake Erie through eastern Ohio. This will bring low odds for a light round of snow locally mainly this morning with little impact in our area. Temperatures this afternoon will be in the seasonal range with highs around 36° or so.
We’ll remain overcast and dry overnight. Temperatures again will be near seasonal values.
A weak cold front will be off to the north and east on Tuesday keeping a deck of clouds overhead. There does not appear to be much in the way of moisture associated with the front and any snow showers will stay mainly along the boundary to our northeast. We will begin to see some breaks on the clouds by Wednesday as high pressure builds in overhead from the west. The high will maintain dry conditions with patchy sunshine through Thursday.
Temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will be nearly identical hanging in the mid-30s for afternoon highs and mid-20s for nighttime lows. Thursday will bring more of a southerly flow and warmer air into the area.
LATE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND
Although disagreement exists between the models, our weather looks to pick up a little as we get to the later part of the week. By Friday our high pressure center will be well off to the east but still keeping a dry day for us locally. Low pressure over the Hudson Bay will extend a cold front. The boundary coupled with another low over the Ohio Valley will bring moisture and chances for precipitation back to the forecast. Depending on temperatures both at the surface and aloft, odds for rain and snow showers will return to start February.
The bottom line for this week is that there are no signs of any significant weather events that will bring cold temperatures or even moderate snow events through the end of January and into the first part of February.
We can expect temperatures to trend colder as web progress into the second week of February, according to the CPC and some of our climate models.
I suspect this to be true although I’m doubtful that temperatures will be extremely cold, As for any big snow events that might come with the cold, there are no real signals for anything that would bring significant impacts locally.