Update: Today’s severe weather threat

Posted 06/03/2020 9:16 AM EST

HIGHLIGHTS
Scattered severe storms are expected this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind, large hail, an isolated tornado, torrential downpour and frequent lightning are all a possibility with these storms. Localized flooding could occur with any training storms. The Storm Prediction Center has the area under a Slight Risk of severe weather, meaning scattered severe storms are possible.

Our local weather conditions certainly have a summer-like feel this morning. Temperatures locally did not cool off much overnight and we’re already in a warm and muggy air mass to start the day. As I discussed yesterday, the morning showers and storms coming off of Lake Erie kept pretty much north of the Valley as they made their way east. This morning’s activity did manage to keep clouds over our area initially.

First and foremost – there is a lot of uncertainty with regard to today’s severe weather. Those morning storms in northeast Ohio will be a factor for the rest of today. They will establish a boundary somewhere over central Ohio as the morning progresses and that boundary will become the focus for thunderstorm development later this afternoon.

Another important factor in today’s severe threat will be the amount of sunshine we manage to get today. Thie morning satellite images indicated broken cloud cover and intervals of sun can be expected. The big question this presents is will there be enough sun to provide enough fuel for strong storms later in the day.

The Storm Prediction Center has kept eastern Ohio in the Slight Risk category in the morning update. And, as suspected, an Enhanced Risk area has been included in the morning update for an area off to the east into central and eastern PA.

The local severe threats today also remain pretty much the same as yesterday – damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a low threat for tornadoes. Storms today will also be efficient rainmakers and capable of producing heavy downpours.

Again, I’ll stress that severe storms here in our area are not a slam-dunk but, strong to severe thunderstorms can’t be ruled out either.

LOCAL TIMING
We will have no weather issues this morning but shower and thunderstorm chances will begin to increase through the afternoon. The highest odds for any severe weather activity in our area looks to be from around 4 PM to 8 PM.

AFTER THE STORMS
Showers and thunderstorms will taper off and end overnight as a weak cold front makes its way through the region. That front will stall out south of I-70 and remain the focus for showers and storms through the end of the workweek.

There’s not much of an air change with the cold front. Temperatures on Thursday will remain in the low-80s and warm back to the mid-80s on Friday.

Updates will be posted here if any changes to the forecast changes. You can also get real-time updates on the TuscWeather Twitter feed (@tuscwx).

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