Warm and dry for the Valley weekend; Rain chances return Monday with colder temperatures to follow

Posted Thursday, September 24, 2020

Clouds moved in overnight as expected as the remnants of Beta traveled northeastward from the Gulf. Rain associated with this former tropical system will stay well to our south but we will keep a cloudier sky through at least the first half of the day today. Skies will improve locally as Beta continues to move east into the mid-Atlantic this afternoon and evening.

AM RADAR SNAPSHOT - Remnants of Beta will stay south of the region as it travels through the Tennesee Valley and into the mid-Atlantic (Blue dot on the map is New Phila)

Dry and quiet weather will continue here in the Valley on Friday although temperatures will be somewhat warmer with afternoon highs near 80°.

If you follow my forecast you’ve noticed that at the beginning of the week it looked like rain for Saturday night and Sunday. But, as the week progressed the models have steadily slowed down the approach of a cold front and I’ve removed any mention of rain until Sunday night in today’s forecast.

Even then I wouldn’t expect much more than scattered showers Sunday night and Monday here in east-central Ohio as the cold front moves through.

LOW PRESSURE crossing the upper Great Lakes region will drag a cold front through Ohio on Monday. Expect scattered showers Sunday night and Monday as the front crosses east-central Ohio.

Monday’s cold front will bring a distinct pattern change next week and the bottom line locally is that it’s really going to feel like fall. After a warm weekend, temperatures will fall 5° to 10° below normal early next week. Upper-level troughiness will keep the prospects for scattered to numerous showers at times through mid-week. That’s quite a change from the warm, dry, and sunny weather we’ve been having the past week.

A strong ridge will develop in the west and a trough will dig south in the east early next week. This will bring cold air from the north into the Great Lakes region for much of the week. Temperatures locally will be more in line with what we normally see around late October.

UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN on Tuesday of next week according to the GFS model will bring colder air into Ohio by Tuesday.

A reinforcing cold front is expected to move through eastern Ohio mid-week. To cut to the chase, daytime high temperatures during the second half of next week may not get much higher than the upper-50s.

The rain potential in this colder pattern is a little more difficult to pin down this far out, but as you would probably guess, any rain that would materialize during this cold regime would be a much colder rain than we’re used to.

Thank you for tuning in to the Tuscarawas Valley’s most detailed weather forecast. Have a great weekend and enjoy this wonderful weather!



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