Weekend weather update and look at the longer range

Posted 9:30 AM Friday, March 5, 2021

There has been little in the way of changes in the mid-range forecast. We’re still looking at a chilly but dry and sunny weekend in the Tuscarawas Valley through the weekend. While temperatures locally will be more in line with mid-February, it will be nice to have a few days with lots of brilliant sunshine. And, the higher sun angle will feel pretty good despite the cool temperatures.

Come Monday, though, our weather pattern takes a drastic turn to spring. High pressure will move to the southeast by Monday afternoon. Southerly winds will pump warm air into eastern Ohio pushing temperatures way above normal. Our weather will not only stay rain-free but temperatures will soar into the low-60s by mid-week. I suspect a pandemic of spring fever will spread through the Valley for much of next week.

We won’t see any chances for rain through at least mid-week. Precipitation will eventually spread into east-central Ohio during the latter part of next week. Low pressure will develop in the Plains by Wednesday and move into the Great Lakes region on Thursday. While it a bit too soon for details at this point, there is good confidence that several periods of rain at times between Wednesday night through Friday.

A couple of models indicate the potential for a good soaking rain through the end of the week but again, it remains to be seen if other models start showing a similar scenario. It does appear that it will turn fairly wet during the 8 to 14 day period.


As for temperatures, all of the mid-range ensemble forecasts lean toward a warmer than average temperature pattern through mid-month. While I do not think we will see 60°+ much past next Thursday and Friday I do think we will see temperatures in the low 50s.

Our spring and summer severe weather season will get underway soon. This year is a La Nina year and our weather usually turns more active during La Nina. It’s never too early to start thinking about thunderstorms and tornadoes and reviewing your family plan. Ohio’s Spring and Summer Severe Weather Awareness Week is March 21 – 27 but we often have strong storms before the end of March.

Speaking of severe storms, NWS Pittsburgh is offering online spotter training this month. Please consider helping our community by becoming a trained spotter and learning about severe weather in our area. The training is free and online but you must register ahead of time. The next class is at 6:30 PM on March 17. Register online HERE.

Thank you for taking a few minutes of your day to catch up with our weather and supporting the Tuscarawas Valley’s only truly local weather outlook. Remember, you can keep up with our local forecast anytime without a bunch of ads cluttering up your screen at TuscWeather.net. Better yet, install the TUSCWeather web app on your phone. Enjoy the sunny weekend and be safe out there!

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