Some showers but plenty of dry and warm weather this week in the Valley

Posted Sunday AM, April 4, 2021

Happy Easter! Today will be a glorious day in the Tuscarawas Valley. A weakening front draped over Lake Erie will remain nearly stationary. Warmer air south of the boundary will bring a warm sunny day to the Tuscarawas Valley area. Temperatures locally will reach the upper-60s this afternoon across the area. Fortunately, light winds will lessen any fire dangers today despite the very dry conditions.

Skies across the area will stay mostly clear through the evening and overnight. Clouds will start to migrate into the region towards sunrise Monday as that boundary to the north begins to slip southward. It’s a little uncertain exactly how far south the boundary will sink but this morning’s guidance suggests it remains north of the Valley through Monday. Expect a few clouds on Monday with that boundary in the general vicinity.

SUNDAY 04/04

The clouds should have little impact on temperatures tomorrow and temperatures will warm to around 70° for the daytime high. As the boundary inches more to the south late in the day we’ll notice an increase in moisture and clouds. The very dry atmosphere in place will make it difficult for any showers to reach the ground. Still, a spotty shower can’t be ruled out Monday evening and overnight.

With that persistent boundary across the area, we will still need to maintain low odds for increasing clouds and a spotty shower through Tuesday. A series of upper-level disturbances moving through the region will provide a touch of instability. While instability isn’t exactly off-the-charts, there will be enough to bring a slight chance for thunder mainly Tuesday afternoon and evening.

NWS TUESDAY 04/06

Despite the increase in cloud cover and the potential for a shower or two, temperatures on Tuesday will warm into the low-70s across the Valley.

LATE WEEK OUTLOOK
Thursday is shaping up to be the truly wet day for the east-central Ohio region. Low pressure will approach from the west and spread likely chances for rain into the area. Warm air flowing into the region will keep daytime highs in the low-70s locally.

GFS MODEL THURSDAY PM

The models become a bit more undecided with the handling of the low. I’ve opted to keep chances for showers at least through Friday until low pressure finally gets kicked off to the east Friday night. Clouds and scattered rain showers around will have an impact on temperatures Friday and Saturday. We will likely see daytime highs slip back a bit to the upper-60s.

The one feature we can bank on is the confidence in a nice stretch of warm weather going out through the mid-range.

Thanks for reading the Sunday edition of the Valley’s only detailed weather forecast devoted exclusively to our local area. Enjoy this glorious Easter Sunday and be safe out there.

 

 

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