Computer modeling has been fairly consistent in a storm system traveling through the lower Great Lakes Saturday night into Sunday. Initially, this system will spread rain showers into the east-central Ohio region on Sunday.
As the low makes its way east, a trailing cold front will usher in cold Canadian arctic air. As temperatures chill, rain showers will likely mix with snow showers on Sunday night before transitioning to all snow early Monday. A good portion of the snow will be lake effect showers, and the amount and intensity of snow showers locally will depend greatly on how far snow bands off Lake Erie can extend.
By far, the heaviest snow amounts are more likely in the snowbelt counties, with considerably less as one travels southward. While it’s a bit too soon for specific amounts, snow showers will be likely Sunday night into Monday here in the Tuscarawas Valley.
Weak high pressure will try to nudge the low east late Monday into Tuesday. Winds should shift more westerly, shutting off the southerly component, and bring an end to snow chances in our area.
The main thing to take away is that temperatures will be cold enough that any precipitation will likely fall as snow Sunday night through Monday morning.
LOCAL IMPACTS
The ground is still relatively warm, so accumulation on local roads and highways will be limited. You may have to brush off snow on your vehicle on Monday morning, and some snow may accumulate on grassy areas. The bigger impact will be temperatures – they’ll be running 15°-20° below normal for early November.
Temperatures next week will remain below average, with a warm-up to near average by next weekend.
