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Sunny and dry through Tuesday; Rain chances return Tuesday with Irma remnants

Sunday started out with the coolest temperatures we’ve seen since mid May. Officially at the New Philadelphia airport we had a morning low of 40 degrees.

High pressure over the upper Great Lakes will keep the sunshine going through Sunday. While temperatures will be cool for the season, it will be a gorgeous autumn day with afternoon temperatures around 70/72 degrees across the Valley.

With no clouds to speak of overnight, temperatures will again coold off quickly after sunset this evening. It won’t be quite as cold tonight. Most neighborhoods should see mid 40s for nighttime lows.

Monday will bring another sun-filled day with afternoon temperatures around 73/75. Some cirrus clouds will begin moving in from the south as remnants from Hurricane Irma push northward into the lower Ohio Valley.

We’ll remain dry in the Tuscarawas Valley Monday night with increasing clouds toward sunrise Tuesday as the northern remnants of Irma approach southern Ohio.

Moisture associated with the leftovers of Irma will begin pushing into east-central Ohio on Tuesday. Since initially the system will run into High pressure and dry air, rain will have a difficult time reaching the ground before evaporating. However, rain will eventually win this battle and we will see some precipitation at some point here in the Valley.

Moisture will be limited and I don’t see any signal that this will be a big rain producer in the area. It’s been rather dry of late and we could actually use some rain.

Most of the modelling I’ve looked at over the last few days keep the rain totals at around a quarter to a half inch Tuesday through Friday morning.

The best chances for periods of steady rain will occur on Tuesday. Computer models continue to pull Irma remnants to the west on Wednesday as the system weakens even further. We will need to keep low chances for spotty rain showers in the forecast Wednesday morning but we should see thinning clouds and peaks of sun in the afternoon as high pressure visits briefly.

As it is with all weather systems, the exact track and therefore the exact influence on our weather this far out is still in question. But, as I’ve stated in previous posts, Irma remnants should not have a big impact on our weather other than rain.

Irma remnants will die over the Ohio Valley Thursday but we will keep a low threat for a few showers in the Valley as it does. Again, uncertainties in the track will mean that the forecast will evolve as we get toward mid week and get a better handle on the exact path of the low.

High pressure should return by Friday and keep sunshine and dry weather overhead through Saturday.

Warmer, but not hot, temperatures should arrive by late week and dominate through the weekend and into next week.

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