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Nice today with sun and clouds; Rain returns for Wednesday and warm weather returns for the weekend

Dense fog this morning should begin to mix out late in the morning. For now, the National Weather Service has the Fog Advisory set to expire at 10:00 a.m but there is the possibility that it could be extended an hour or so if the fog is slow to dissipate.

Otherwise, the morning fog and clouds will eventually give way to a nice afternoon across east-central Ohio with patchy sunshine and continuing warm temperatures in the mid 70s.

Unfortunately, today’s occasional peaks of sun will be the best we can do for now. Low pressure will track through Indiana and into Ohio tonight accompanied by a warm front that will spread rain into east-central Ohio.

Clouds will once again begin to fill back in ahead of this system as well as increasing chances for rain overnight. Everyone will likely get in on the rain by Wednesday morning and much of the afternoon. The low will be weakening as it crosses east and with that chances for rain will lessen as we get toward tomorrow evening.

As the system looses it’s punch Wednesday night we may get in to some drizzle or spotty showers sticking around through at least the first half of Wednesday night.

Moisture will be slow to depart with an easterly component setting up on Thursday and at the very least keep skies fairly cloudy on Thursday. Most of the day should be dry but a spotty light shower of drizzle can’t be ruled out.

With Wednesday’s rain and Thursday’s clouds, temperatures will take a slight hit downward, but we will still see afternoon highs 5 to 7 degrees above average. Most neighborhoods will end up with 73/74 on Wednesday with 70/71 for the high on Thursday.

Current modeling suggest this won’t be a big rain producer with most of the area ending up with a quarter to a half inch Tuesday night through Thursday night.

The bulk of rain will occur on Wednesday with nuisance rain Wednesday night and Thursday.



FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
By Friday most of the moisture associated with this system should get kicked to the east finally as a ridge of high pressure looks to set up in the upper levels for the weekend.

Temperatures will once again warm back up on Saturday under mostly sunny conditions. Most neighborhoods should see afternoon temperatures well in the upper 70s with low 80s not out of the realm of possibilities. It will remain dry on Sunday with a few more clouds. Still, Sunday will be a nice warm day with upper 70s for the afternoon highs.

THOUGHTS ON THE LONGER RANGE
Those who have been patiently waiting for cooler weather will just have to wait longer. While we will cool down closer to seasonal temperatures early next week, it doesn’t look like cooler temperatures stick around for much longer than a day or two. By mid week the warm pattern returns.

The latest ensemble forecasts from the longer range climate models ALL indicate the very warm October pattern remaining through the end of the month.

Basically, what this means is that while there may be a few short periods where temperatures cool off, those periods will only last a day or two. Generally, none of our climate models indicate any sustained cold periods east of the Mississippi and temperatures look to remain above average (generally) through the rest of October.

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