Weather Edge for Thursday, December 13, 2018

Dry weather is expected into Friday morning. Rain chances increase Friday with low pressure approaching from the south. Dry weather returns for the first half of next week.

This morning’s satellite scans show a pretty decent amount of clearing working in over the region as weak high pressure builds in. We should see a good amount of sunshine today in east-central Ohio.

A bit of low-level moisture will creep in this afternoon to produce some clouds this afternoon but for the most part, we’re looking at a nice dry day with temperatures around the mid-40s.

The next weather system that will impact the region arrives on Friday as a strong storm system moves out of the Gulf Coast tomorrow afternoon and tracks into the Tennessee Valley by tomorrow night. Although the parent low-pressure system will remain south of us, moisture will spread northward during the day Friday. Odds for rain will gradually increase Friday afternoon becoming likely Friday night into Saturday morning.

I’ll need to keep likely chances for rain into Saturday morning. Shower odds will trend downward through the afternoon as the low tracks east and a dry slot works into the system. There are some uncertainties in the modeling, but most take the low off the mid-Atlantic coast by late Sunday.

Sunday will be the drier day of the weekend with gradually improving conditions through the day. Depending on the path, we may even get into some sun. Total rainfall will generally amount to a half to one inch through the period.

The good news is temperatures will remain warm enough so that all precipitation will fall as rain.

Clouds will hang around Monday as a cold front crosses the region. Better odds for sunshine and dry conditions will come Tuesday and Wednesday with high pressure regaining control.

Ensemble model forecasts continue to indicate a milder temperature regime heading in Christmas with a colder trend just before the big day.

This doesn’t appear to be anything brutally cold, but we should see temperatures at least more in tune with the season. It will be a colder pattern compared to next week’s temperatures.



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