Today’s low-end severe risk; Heating up for the weekend

Updated 08/15/2019 1:40 PM to include updated SPC map.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today with crossing low pressure. Mainly dry weather should return Friday followed by warmer and muggier conditions for the weekend.

Weak low pressure will cross Ohio today and that will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to east-central Ohio this afternoon. As temperatures warm this afternoon, there will be just enough instability present that a couple of those storms could get a little feisty. Strong wind gusts is the main concern but hail is also something we’ll need to watch out for.

UPDATED SPC MAP at 1:40 PM EDT 08/15/2019

The Storm Prediction Center keeps our area highlighted for a marginal risk today. A marginal risk is the lowest on the SPC threat scale.

The best odds for showers and storms locally looks to be from around 3:00 PM to about 7:00 PM. Chances for showers and storms will lessen this evening as sunset approaches and the disturbance moves out of the region.

FutureCast Radar image from the hi-res model at 6:00 PM this evening.

Otherwise, we can expect a partly cloudy day across the Valley today with afternoon temperatures in the low 80s. Once this little bump exits the region this evening we should stay dry overnight.

Friday looks like a dry day locally with a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures again will warm to the low 80s.

Another weak ripple will travel through the region on Saturday. While this may bring a couple of isolated showers and some thunder to east-central Ohio, I wouldn’t cancel any outdoor plans. We will need to keep low odds for a spotty shower or storm going through Saturday, but most neighborhoods should stay dry.

Otherwise, we can expect clouds and sun. Temperatures will be warmer than Friday and it will feel a bit muggy as we warm to the mid/upper 80s.

Sunday will have a mid-July feel to it. Temperatures will approach 90° in northern parts of the Valley and I wouldn’t be surprised that neighborhoods around Dover/New Phila and south top 90°. Dew points will be around 70°, give or take, so it’s going to be humid as well.

The warm weather pattern looks to continue into next week with afternoon high temperatures running about five degrees above average.

Upper-level disturbances riding through the region will keep the occasional threat for showers and thunderstorms going through mid-week. In keeping with the mid-July theme, dew points will hover around the upper 60s to 70°.



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