A warm front will lift through east-central Ohio this evening sparking scattered showers and thunderstorms early. A more defined line of thunderstorms – some of which could be severe – will develop tonight and travel southeast into the Tuscarawas Valley after sunset.
Our saving grace will be timing. Storms are likely to lose some of their punch as they approach our area due to waning instability. A few storms could maintain and still be on the strong side when they cross our area.
Hi-res futurecast radar for tonight through 8:00 AM Tuesday:
The highest risk for strong to severe thunderstorms in the Valley will be between 9:00 PM tonight through 3:00 AM Tuesday morning.
Damaging wind gusts, small hail, and brief periods of heavy rainfall can be expected with the strongest cells.
The Storm Prediction Center has portions of east-central Ohio flagged for a Slight Risk. Currently, the Tuscarawas Valley is in the Marginal Risk category.
Strong thunderstorms will also be possible on Tuesday with a cold front. The strength of tomorrow’s storms will depend on how clear the sky becomes in the afternoon and how much sun we manage to receive. Instability will depend on the amount of sunshine warms the upper levels.
I’ll post an early morning update with the latest ideas for Tuesday’s severe potential.