A couple of non-severe thunderstorms rolled across the region last night and brought a nice slug of rain to the Tuscarawas Valley. Observations show that most neighborhoods received at least some rainfall. Generally, around a half to three-quarters of an inch fell over the area.
I did receive a couple of reports over an inch via social media mainly just to the south of New Philadelphia.
There are a few lingering showers early this morning in the far southern communities early this morning. These should depart over the next hour or two and dry weather will temporarily take over after 9:00 AM.
The dry weather probably won’t last long. Depending on how quickly morning clouds can break. building instability and a very weak cap will allow for scattered popup showers and storms to return during the early afternoon. More concentrated activity, as well as a slightly increased risk for strong to severe storms, will arrive late this afternoon with the approach and passage of a cold front.
Currently, the Storm Prediction Center has all of the east-central Ohio region painted for a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. A Slight Risk means that scattered severe storms will be possible in the area.
Primary threats with storms later today will be strong gusty wind. Large hail will also be something we’ll need to watch for. The threat of tornadoes is pretty low.
The highest odds for severe thunderstorms in our area will be between 4:00 PM this afternoon through 2:00 AM Wednesday. Storms this afternoon will be pretty spotty, so not everyone will get in on a storm today. Futurecast radar for today through midnight:
Thunderstorms should weaken and push south of the area around or just after midnight tonight. Fog may develop early Wednesday morning depending on how quickly skies can clear out.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Dry and mostly sunny conditions will dominate our weather pattern through Friday with high pressure in control. Temperatures will be a few degrees cooler Wednesday and the humidity will be noticeably more comfortable behind our cold front. With mostly clear skies Wednesday night, fog may once again develop in spots.
Temperatures will warm a bit each day Thursday and Friday under abundant sunshine.
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND OUTLOOK
Unfortunately, an unsettled weather pattern looks to return for the holiday weekend. A potential tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico will pump Gulf moisture northward and upper-level disturbances will provide support for rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the period.
With ample tropical moisture available to tap in to, periods of heavy rainfall will also be possible at times – especially on Sunday and Monday. We will notice this moisture in the form of increasing humidity through the weekend.
I would have to say this morning that Saturday looks to be the best day of the holiday weekend. We should remain mostly dry with perhaps some popup summertime showers and storms. Tropical moisture moving in Sunday and Monday will keep an increased threat for showers and storms going Sunday and Monday.
Expect the weekend outlook details to change as we get closer to Friday. But one thing is certain – it will be warm and muggy through the holiday weekend.