Rainfall from the remnant of Florence will spread over the region today and continue into early Tuesday. Above normal temperatures continue through the weekend. Thursday and Friday will be the warmest day.
As mentioned in yesterday’s update, rain from the weakened leftovers of what was once Hurrican Florence has overspread the region. Morning analysis shows the center of low pressure associated with Florence near the border of western Virginia and eastern Kentucky. The low will continue a moving northward reaching southern Ohio tonight.
We will see some occasional breaks in the steady rainfall now and then, but showers will pretty much rule the day. As temperatures warm to the low 70s this afternoon, a rumble or two of thunder will be possible. And, as with any tropical system, pockets of moderate to heavy rain can be expected.
SIMULATED radar from the high resolution short term model for today:
Overall, the amount of rain here in east-central Ohio should not be overwhelming. Generally speaking, we should see about an inch of rain from the system here in the Valley. Higher amounts of rain will keep to our east.
Rain and cloud cover will keep temperatures this afternoon in the low 70s.
The remnant low will reach the upper Ohio Valley tonight, then pick up speed and lift northeast of the region on Tuesday. As it does, showers will diminish across east-central Ohio from west to east tonight. There may be a lingering shower early Tuesday morning but our weather will gradually improve.
Tuesday will bring residual cloud cover will remain through Tuesday afternoon but we should remain dry. As clouds begin to thin we’ll start to see some peaks of sun. With those thinning clouds and opportunities for sunshine, afternoon temperatures will warm to the low 80s.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
A weak cold front will sink Tuesday night with little fanfare. High pressure will build across the region Wednesday and bring mostly sunny conditions back to the region. Temperatures will be a little cooler Wednesday with afternoon highs around 80.
That cold front will stall out in southern Ohio, then reverse course and lift back through east-central Ohio Wednesday night as a warm front. We can expect sunny skies and warmer temperatures Thursday in the Valley with afternoon highs in the mid-80s.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
Our warm sunny weather will take a turn and become more active toward the end of the week. A cold front will cross the region on Friday to bring decent odds for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Temperatures will be cooler through the weekend behind the cold front with afternoon highs in the mid-70s.
This past weekend may have been the last where we see temperatures in the mid-80s. Longer range ensemble models show a transition to a more autumn-like temperature pattern through the end of the month.