Tuscarawas Valley Weather Edge Update for Wednesday, 11/28/2018

A quick note this morning: Today I’ll introduce a new name for this daily forecast update. I call it Weather Edge because, well it will give you an edge over the 75% of folks who just rely on an out of town weather resource or a weather app. So, if you enjoy reading more about our local weather details, please recommend Weather Edge from TuscWeather to your friends and family. We can’t do anything to change the weather but we can prepare for what’s ahead if we know the details.

A few snow flurries and light snow showers this morning should taper off and end around lunchtime. Anything that falls should be light and I do not expect accumulation to amount to much more than a dusting to perhaps a half an inch.

Temperatures today will not warm much this afternoon. It will remain chilly with an afternoon high around 29° or 30°. There will be a bit of a westerly breeze, so wind chills in the upper teens to around 20° late this afternoon.

Weak high pressure will wedge in tonight to keep it dry and snow-free overnight and into Thursday. It’s been quite a while since we’ve seen any sun and tomorrow could bring enough of a break in the clouds to allow at least a few occasional peaks of sun now and then.

Temperatures on Thursday will also start to warm a little. It won’t be shorts weather but at least we will see temperatures in the afternoon above freezing.

Light snow/rain will develop in western Ohio late in the day and attempt to travel northeast into east-central Ohio tomorrow night. It will run into the drier air we have overhead and precipitation will struggle to get anything going at first.

Then, things get a little tricky. I’ve introduced a low chance for a rain and snow mix Thursday evening as the atmosphere moistens up. Temperatures will start to decrease after sunset and we could start to see some freezing rain mix in with rain/snow. The best odds for freezing rain will occur after sunset through early Friday morning.

Warmer air will approach with a warm front by Friday morning and any frozen precipitation will eventually change over to all rain at some point Friday morning. The tricky part is determining how soon the warmer air starts, how quickly the atmosphere moistens up, and how long the wintry mix can sustain.

The timing of all this is a bit of a challenge now, so I’ve kept a moderately low chance for brief freezing rain or drizzle Thursday night into Friday morning. At this time I do not think it will be a big problem maker but it is something we’ll need to be mindful of for the Friday morning commute. Model runs tonight and tomorrow hopefully will give a better idea of how this will all play out.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
The good news is it will be warmer. The bad news is we can expect rain. Friday looks mostly dull and dreary again. A light rain will be possible just about anytime through the day as our next low-pressure system approaches from the west. The best time for a dry period will come late in the day and in the evening.

Rain looks like a given on Saturday with low pressure moving northeast into the Great Lakes region. If it’s any consolation, temperatures will warm to the low 50s Saturday, so at least precipitation won’t be snow.

By Sunday the low will have moved well into the Great Lakes and the rain associated with it should taper off becoming more scattered. Lingering showers will be possible through the day but at least the steadiest rain will have shifted east. Temperatures on Sunday will actually be well above average as we warm to the mid-50s.

EARLY NEXT WEEK
A couple of upper-level low pressure areas will wander across the eastern US Monday through Wednesday. This will keep a threat for rain showers going on Monday. A cold front will bring a return to cooler than average temperatures by Tuesday along with a threat for snow showers. My early ideas are that folks in the snow belt will end up with another round of accumulating snow. Here at home, it snow should be less of a problem.

LONG RANGE
We will warm up nicely into the 50s over the weekend but the longer range outlook shows that the colder air out west will migrate eastward next week.

Changing over to the 8 to 14-day outlook indicates a chilly airmass blanketing much of the country.

Thanks for checking in with the Valley’s detailed weather forecast. Have a great Wednesday!

6 thoughts on “Tuscarawas Valley Weather Edge Update for Wednesday, 11/28/2018”

  1. Thanks Joe, for the most comprehensive local forecast on the net. The new name is fitting.
    I’m retired but it still does me well to know what to expect with the weather. Whether I’ll be able to work outside, in the garage or just hangout in the house.
    ZEE

  2. Like the new name. Will make sure my friends know where to find the most accurate forecast for our area.

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