Happy Father’s Day. I just want to get a quick update out regarding our weather situation to Sunday evening and the next couple of days. While we are not expecting any widespread severe weather this evening, thunderstorms are expected to roll into east-central Ohio late today. There is a small chance that a couple of storms could bring strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall to the Valley.
The Storm Prediction Center has up highlighted for a Marginal (1/5) Risk. That’s the lowest on the scale, but a strong thunderstorm can’t be ruled out here.
A higher threat for severe storms is just to our south – along and south of I-70. Just be aware that a strong gusty storm is possible here this evening and tonight after sunset and into early Monday morning. Simulated radar product from the hi-res model through 8:00 AM Monday:
I’ll caution that I think the model is not handling the moderate amount of clearing and sunshine that has broken out this afternoon. Additional sun and heating will increase instability and therefore the odds for strong storms this evening and tonight.
There have already been a couple of tornado warnings issued for northern Ohio counties late this afternoon, and a quick spin up cannot be ruled out here tonight. Have a reliable way to get weather warnings tonight. Outdoor tornado sirens don’t qualify as a reliable warning method.
Again, this is not a big severe weather threat, but the odds are not zero either.
In addition, there is a whole lot of moisture available for storms to tap into. Torrential downpours are possible in any storm that can manage to tap into this moisture. This could lead to localized flooding in areas that are already saturated as well as street flooding.
The threat for severe storms will diminish after 11:00 PM. Still, a thunderstorm can’t be ruled out through morning but there will be less of a severe threat.
Strong gusty thunderstorms will remain a possibility in our area tonight and Monday. Again, the threat will be damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall.