More of a ‘seasonal’ feel to our weather this week

An upper-level area of low pressure situated almost directly overhead this morning will shift east and south today. As it does, a more northerly flow will set up this afternoon and tonight. With moisture off the open lake, lake effect snow showers will spread south in the northerly flow aloft. While this will result in occasional snow showers pushing south today, not much is expected to accumulate locally. With temperatures remaining above freezing, most precipitation through the day will be a mix of rain and snow. The bulk of any rain/snow we see here locally should exit the area late this afternoon.

HI-RES SIMULATED RADAR for today

Temperatures this morning will flatline today. I wouldn’t expect much more than a degree or two of either side of 34°. A northwest breeze will increase as the low moves southeast this afternoon. Gusts could be in the 20/25 mph range.

I’ll keep just a slight chance (>30%) for a snow shower locally into the first half of the night. Our weather should start to improve as weak high pressure moves overhead for Tuesday. Clouds should break enough to allow spotty sunshine tomorrow and dry conditions.

The dry weather will be brief, however. Another round of spotty light snow will possible Tuesday night as an upper-level disturbance drops south from the Great Lakes. Accumulation from this will keep mainly to our north. Total snowfall today through Wednesday morning locally will be less than an inch at best.

NWS “Worst Case Scenario” total snowfall today through Wednesday morning.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
Temperatures will remain cooler than average through the end of the workweek. SNow showers associated mainly with the northwest flow will be confined to the snow belt areas up north. Temperatures will remain mostly in the 40s for daytime highs and upper-20s nighttime lows. Thursday is looking like the best day of the workweek for decent sunshine.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK
High pressure is forecast to set up to bring a sunny day for Saturday. Temperatures will remain on the cool side with an afternoon high around 40° or so. Sunday will be the warmer day of the weekend with highs in the upper-40s. However, as high pressure shifts east of the region, a westerly flow ill bring in moisture and clouds. Rain chances will increase to start the new workweek.

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