Wednesday: Less Cloudiness and a Little Brighter Today

After a string of overcast days this week, we will begin to see at least a little sunshine today. Clouds will decrease as an area of high pressure over Ontario finally starts to flex its muscle and bring drier air into eastern Ohio. Clouds will fill back in tonight as a little disturbance along the Lake Erie shore dips south. Moisture is limited and we should remain dry overnight.

Temperatures today will be much like yesterday with highs this afternoon in the mid-30s.

High pressure will likely maintain dry weather on Thursday and breaks in the clouds will bring occasional sunshine to the Valley. We will tack on a couple of degrees tomorrow thanks to the sun warming things up a bit.

High pressure shifts off to the east on Friday but we should remain dry during the daytime hours. Meanwhile, low pressure off the Carolina Coast and strengthening low pressure over the North Atlantic will spread clouds and moisture west. Cloudiness will return Friday but east-central Ohio remains dry.

All modeling keeps the systems well off to our east but a large upper-level trough will keep showers in our forecast Saturday and Sunday. Cooler nighttime temperatures will transition any light rain/drizzle to snow but accumulation locally looks mainly unimpactful.

SNOWFALL THROUGH SUNDAY from the European model. All of our modeling suggests snowfall under an inch in our area through the weekend.

Warmer air in a southerly flow will bring increasing temperatures through the weekend and afternoon highs should warm to the mid-40s by Sunday.

High pressure returns to start the first week of February keeping things dry locally. A strong south flow will bring significantly warmer temperatures with afternoon highs near the mid-50s will be likely. Low pressure moving in from the Plans will bring increasing odds for rain back to the region on Tuesday.

We’re approaching the time where winter starts to wind down a bit and many folks are wondering if we will ever see any real cold yet this year. The short answer is that real impactful cold weather through at least the first half of February doesn’t look promising.

GFS ENSEMBLE temperatures projections through mid-February

Should this pan out to be correct, the opportunity for any real cold temperatures just isn’t looking likely. Conditions may set up for the latter part of the month for an opportunity for somewhat colder temperatures but any real bitter cold just isn’t showing up in our climate modeling.



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