Scattered t-storms possible today; Some could be severe

Posted: Tuesday, August 25, 2020, 9:00 AM

Step outside this morning and you certainly realize the warm and humid air that is settled over east-central Ohio. Temperatures didn’t drop off much overnight and most neighborhoods stayed in the low 70s. With dew points in the upper-60s to 70° locally this morning. This warm and humid airmass will provide fuel for scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

While most of the morning and early afternoon should stay dry here in the Valley, a cluster of non-severe thunderstorms currently near Milwaulkee and Chicago will continue moving southeast. These will eventually enter northwest Ohio early this afternoon continue southeast. Our potential for t-storms today will depend on where this cluster of storms ends up later in the afternoon.

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has all of eastern Ohio highlighted for a Slight Risk (Level 2 on a scale of 1 to 5) of severe thunderstorms later today. Strong wind gusts are the primary threat but hail is also possible in the strongest storms.

SPC DAY 1 SEVERE OUTLOOK

Our hi-res modeling brings the heaviest activity this afternoon south of US-30. If this pans out to be correct, we can expect showers and thunderstorms to impact our area anytime after 3/4 PM.

SIMULATED FUTURECAST RADAR from the hi-res model at 4:00 PM this afternoon shows the postential for thunderstorms later today. This is but one model but other hi-resolution models show a similar idea.

ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
This is just the first day of a string of days that may bring strong to severe thunderstorms to our area. There will be a lesser threat of severe thunderstorms on Wednesday followed by potentially severe weather on Thursday and Friday.

All of this, of course, doesn’t guarantee we will see any severe weather over the next few days, but it does mean that there is definitely a chance for some severe thunderstorms. So, have a way to get warnings especially during the afternoon and evening today, Wednesday, and Thursday.

Regardless of whether we end up with any severe storms, this does bring an opportunity for some much-needed rain to the Valley. Rain locally through Friday could amount to a half-inch to an inch with locally higher amounts in those places that see a thunderstorm.

NWS RAINFALL PROJECTION through Friday evening

So, the bottom line with all of this is to be aware of the weather over the next few days. Some storms could produce strong wind gusts, hail, and heavy downpours.

I am frequently asked what weather warning app I recommend. Personally, I do not use apps from commercial or TV weather outlets. I have the FEMA App installed on my mobile devices. I’ve used the FEMA App for several years and it’s never let me down. It’s free and available on Google Play for Android or the App Store for iOS devices. You can program the app for up to 5 counties. [FEMA is a federal organization. I do not make any money from nor do I have any connection to FEMA]

I’ll post updates through the rest of the week to help keep you informed as our weather situation unfolds over the next several days. I also post updates throughout the day on Twitter.

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