First snowflakes of the season Sunday night into Monday morning

Posted 10:48 AM EDT October 31, 2020

After a sunny and dry Halloween, our weather will turn more active to kick-start November on Sunday. Temperatures on Sunday will be the warmest in the morning before a cold front sinks through east-central Ohio in the afternoon. Tomorrow afternoon will feature falling temperatures behind the front. Temperatures once again will drop to below freezing Sunday night.

A cold front will sink SE through Ohio Sunday afternoon. Rain is likely Sunday morning before precipitation changes to snow Sunday evening. Gusty west wind will accompany the front.

Widespread rain will push in Sunday morning ahead of the front. Rain showers are likely into the early afternoon before tapering off toward evening. The first snowflakes of the season are possible Sunday evening and Sunday night as colder air flows into the region behind the front.

In addition, a gusty wind field will set up with the cold front. West wind Sunday afternoon may have gusts in the 30 mph range. Winds will shift out of the northwest Sunday night into Monday morning.

HOW MUCH SNOW WILL WE GET HERE IN THE VALLEY?
Not much. But there are some details that need to be worked out yet. The vast majority of snowfall Sunday night into Monday morning will be lake-enhanced snow due to that northwest flow. That means that areas north and east of the Valley will end up with the highest snowfall totals.

SNOWFALL PROJECTION from the NAM3k through Monday afternoon.

Locally, warm ground temperatures will limit accumulation. BUT, some of the morning models suggest several lake-enhanced bands setting up which could produce periods of heavier snowfall. Uncertainty in these lake-enhanced streamers remains high at this point but bear watching for future updates.

Otherwise, I wouldn’t expect much more than a dusting on grassy areas and this would be less likely for neighborhoods closer to I-70. Places like Bolivar, Strasburg, Zoar, Mineral City and Dover would have better chances of seeing any white on the lawn.

WHEN WILL SNOW START?
Temperatures locally are expected to remain in the mid-30s locally early Sunday evening. The first flakes should start to appear around or after sunset. Remember, though, sunset will occur an hour earlier Sunday evening with the time change.

THE REST OF NEXT WEEK
High pressure will build into the region Monday night. This will bring dry weather through the bulk of the week. A general warming trend looks to bring daytime highs back to the mid-60s by mid-week. Indian Summer?

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