Showers move in tonight; Milder temperatures through Thursday

Posted Monday AM, March 15, 2021

We will have a couple of wet days this week in the Valley but otherwise, our week looks mainly calm and uneventful. Let’s take a look…

Temperatures in the Valley started out chilly this morning. Most neighborhoods were in the low-20s at 8:00 AM and mostly sunny. Skies will remain mostly sunny locally through the rest of the morning. Clouds will increase during the afternoon and evening as a system out of the Plains inches closer to the Ohio Valley. This once-powerful storm system will weaken as it gets closer to the area today and tonight.


Chances for rain showers will increase this evening and showers will be likely after midnight as low pressure advances north and east. The system will push a warm front out ahead and temperatures around the Valley area will stay warm enough to support all rain. Light rain is likely to continue into Tuesday morning. It will turn breezy tonight as well with southeast winds increasing to around 10 mph. We could see an occasional gusty of 20 mph or so.

Odds for showers will decrease through the rest of the day Tuesday as the weakening system pulls off to the north and east but skies will remain cloudy with intermittent light showers possible in all locations.

Despite the light rain and cloudiness temperatures locally on Tuesday will be warmer than they are today and all locations should see highs in the mid-50s.

Rain totals will be light with this first system. Locally we’ll end up with about a tenth or two of an inch. We’ll dry out Tuesday night and Wednesday as high pressure briefly returns. Afternoon highs on Wednesday will be dependent on how much sunshine we can muster. I think odds or good that most locations in the Valley will see mid-50s or better. Communities south of New Phila could reach the upper-50s.

GFS MODEL 8:00 AM Wednesday

Our next rainmaker moves into the Ohio Valley on Thursday. Rain will spread south to north early Thursday and showers will likely continue all day. This system will be a fairly decent rain producer. The global ensemble models from the GFS and European models suggest around 3/4″ – 1.25″ rain amounts out for the area.

We could see a few light showers linger into Friday morning but high pressure will be building over the Great Lakes region and shifting southward. With the high off to our northwest, we’ll end up with a northerly flow and cooler temperatures on Friday.

As the center of high pressure shifts east and south toward the mid-Atlantic, we’ll see our temperatures warm up as the flow turns more southerly. I think we will get to the low-50s on Saturday then upper-50s by Sunday. High pressure will provide abundant sunshine and little in the way of clouds.

Overall, a nice warmup is headed to the Valley next week. Warmer than average temperatures look to remain in place and many locations will reach the low-60s for a few days.

No severe thunderstorms are expected through mid-week. I am watching for the potential of moderately strong wind gusts developing Thursday night into Friday morning.

I’m a little late getting our weather posted this morning. I got the SHOT this morning at the Tuscarawas County Health Department. They’ve got a quick and easy system set up and a great bunch of folks to help you through the process. We’re blessed to have the good folks there to keep us all healthy and safe. Thank you so much and kudos for such a painless and easy way to get the vaccine.

Thank you for checking out the Tuscarawas Valley’s very own local weather outlook. I’ll have updates throughout the week. Until next time, be safe out there!



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