Breaking Down the Wind, Rain, and Falling Temperatures Over the Next 36 Hours

Posted Friday, December 10, 2021

Friday will bring a mild day temperature-wise. Temperatures this morning are already warmer than we’ve seen over the last several days. The rest of the daytime hours today will be fairly mild and uneventful. Afternoon highs today will reach the mid-50s in most neighborhoods around the Tuscarawas Valley. The much-talked-about rain and wind will not become an issue until late tonight.

The storm system that will impact our area tonight and Saturday is currently setting up just east of the Rockies this morning. The storm will continue to push east today accompanied by snow north and rain/thunderstorms south.

FRIDAY AM NWS SURFACE ANALYSIS

Already we have high wind watches and warnings posted for parts of Michigan, Indiana, Western and extreme northern Ohio, and Pennsylvania. I would expect NWS to issue a Wind Advisory for our area later today.

As I mentioned earlier, we will have no weather issues during the bulk of the day today. You may want to take some time to secure loose items around the yard while the weather is mild – especially those holiday inflatables and decorations. The wind will start to become an issue late tonight.

A few showers can move into the region late this evening with spotty showers through the pre-dawn hours Saturday. We will also begin to notice the wind picking up overnight. Thunder can’t be ruled out during the early morning and any showers or storms could pull down some moderate wind gusts. Rain could be heavy at times.

HI-RES FUTURECAST RADAR simulated radar at 1:00 AM Saturday

Generally, it will be windy late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Winds are expected to increase into the afternoon Saturday as a strong cold front approaches. The highest wind gusts and consistently strong wind will occur around mid-day – 1:00 PM – 4:00 PM. Gusts during the afternoon could top 40/45 MPH and I can’t rule out 50 MPH.

HI_RES MODEL PROJECTION wind GUSTS Saturday afternoon.

Temperatures tomorrow will be quite warm for December standards – probably starting out at around 60° in the morning. And, we will stay in the low-60s during the bulk of the morning. A strong cold front moves through in the afternoon (hence the high winds). Temperatures will quickly plummet behind this front. We’ll go from mid-60s around noon to the mid 30s by 5:00/6:00 PM.

TEMPERATURES drop rapidly Saturday late afternoon as a cold front sweeps south through the region.

When you factor in the strong winds it’s going to feel like the mid-20s by 5:00 PM. One of the concerns with any high wind event is the possibility of scattered power outages. With temperatures turning much colder Saturday night some folks could lose power which might mean no furnace for heat.

SEVERE STORMS
It is unusual to be talking about severe thunderstorm potential in December but some areas of Ohio could see even high wind gusts and even tornadoes. Our risk for any severe thunderstorms tonight and Saturday is fairly low tonight. Saturday’s risk is slightly higher but still, severe storms aren’t a big concern.

STORM PREDICTION CENTER SEVERE T-STORM RISK tonight and Saturday

It’s going to be very windy storms or not. But the highest risk for even stronger wind gusts in thunderstorms is south and west of our area. West and Southwest Ohio even have a low threat for isolated tornadoes tonight. We do have a slightly higher risk for those stronger thunderstorm wind gusts on Saturday – level #1 on a scale of 1 – 5.

SUNDAY
The wind subsides quickly Saturday night as the front exits south and east out of the state. Sunday will be sunny but chilly with highs in the low to mid-40s. Normal highs for this point of December in our area are around 43° so still not brutally cold. And temperatures warm back to near 50° by Monday and mid-50s by mid-week.

As always, local updates exclusively for the Tuscarawas Valley region of east-central Ohio are on TuscWeather.net and the TuscWeather web app on your phone. I’ll also have quick updates on our Twitter feed (@tuscwx). Facebook kicked me off so no updates there.

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