Monday: The last really nice warm day for the foreseeable future; Winter cold arrives Tuesday

High pressure will remain in control through Monday. That will keep us dry although we will see a cloudier day as high level clouds stream in ahead of our next weather system. Despite the increase in clouds, temperatures this afternoon will warm to 60/62.

Nope. Sixty degrees is no where near record territory for New Phila on this date. In 1982 we got to 76 degrees.

The southerly flow will keep temperatures relatively warm tonight and at least the first half of Tuesday. And, that flow at the surface may be a little gusty at times today, but especially tonight. Gusts overnight could reach 35 to 40 mph at times.

Big changes in our mild weather pattern will get underway with the exit of high pressure and the approach and passing of a cold front Tuesday afternoon.

Computer modeling has been consistent in bringing showers into east-central Ohio early Tuesday morning ahead of the front. Showers will be likely to continue through the bulk of the day, then taper off and end quickly behind the boundary Tuesday night.

There are some differences in how quickly precipitation ends and, as the cold arctic air rushes in. Most guidance shuts off precipitation rather quickly behind the boundary. As such, there is little chance for any snow here in east-central Ohio.

Rain totals Monday night and Tuesday will average a quarter to a half inch.

MUCH COLDER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
The 60-degree temperatures of today will be but a distant memory come Wednesday morning. Wednesday will be considerably colder and wind chills will likely be in the mid to upper teens to begin the day.

While blustery and cold, at least Wednesday will be dry and mostly sunny.

Quite frankly, once the cold air arrives this week it will have some staying power. Folks who have been anxiously awaiting winter temperatures will finally see them.

With high pressure passing to our south, Thursday will remain dry and mostly sunny. Ice-box temperatures will continue with afternoon temps not doing much better than freezing.



FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND – SNOW CHANCES
Overall, confidence is increasing for periods of snow showers as several disturbances rotate through over the weekend. The strongest of these, a clipper type system, will bring at least low chances for snow Friday night and Saturday. Details still need to be worked out over the coming days.

A slightly stronger system is showing up on some of the modeling for Sunday. Should this pan out just right I think the chances for snow in east-central Ohio would be a tad better. Niether of these two systems will be barn burners and while accumulations will come into focus later in the week, these don’t appear to be anything major at this time.

Snow or not, the upcoming weekend will be a whole lot colder than this past weekend. Temperatures at or near freezing for daytime highs on Friday and Saturday. Nighttime lows will bottom out in the low 20s Friday night – upper teens Saturday night.

Sunday will likely be the coldest day of the season so far with afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s.

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