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Chilly winter pattern continues through mid week; Warming trend gets underway to end the week

East-central Ohio just cannot shake this winter-like weather pattern of colder than average temperatures. And, chilly weather will continue to hang around through at least mid week before any signs of warmer temperatures move in for the weekend.

The culprit for the bulk of colder temperatures this week will be a pattern similar to what we saw last week – a trough of upper level low pressure funneling in cold air. Despite the angle of the sun this time of the year being similar to mid October, the cold air through the bulk of the week will keep our temperatures on the chilly side.

There are signs, however, that a warm up will get underway over the weekend. Unfortunately, the swing to warmer than average temperatures don’t look to stick around very long.

While we will have a dry but chilly day Monday, our morning sunshine will erode this afternoon as clouds begin to move in ahead of our next weather system. Temperatures this afternoon across the Valley won’t do much better than the upper 30s to around 40 degrees for the high.

A disturbance will cross east-central Ohio tonight and Tuesday raising the odds for scattered snow showers tonight and tomorrow. There will be s slight chance for snow tonight and chances for snow showers will increase as we go through the day Tuesday.

Although odds for snow showers will be a lot less on Wednesday, it will be a cold and blustery day. Temperatures will struggle to get much above freezing for the afternoon high and a brisk northwest wind will make it feel like a mid January day with wind chills in the low teens in the morning and upper teens in the afternoon.

Hi-res NAM (North American Model) projecions for wind chills at noon on Wednesday. Wind chills will only get to the upper teens in the afternoon.


Although there may be some heavier snow squalls on Wednesday, for the most part this will be a low impact snow event for the Tuscarawas Valley area. Snow showers on Tuesday should be generally light and scattered with even less odds for snow on Wednesday. We should get out of this one with an inch or less for most neighborhoods.

Since this will be mostly lake enhanced snow, heavier amounts of snow will be seen in those Ohio counties north and east of us. Keep that in mind of you have travel plans that take you into the eastern snow belt counties Tuesday and Wednesday.

High pressure will slowly build and travel east across the Great Lakes region Thursday and Friday bring mostly sunny and dry weather to east-central Ohio. Temperatures will also begin to moderate some and we should warm to just below average Thursday with highs in the low 40s. Friday brings more sun and even warmer temperatures where we actually will be a couple of ticks ABOVE average for a change. Highs on Friday will approach 50 degrees.

Our computer models seem to be in total disarray concerning the weekend weather, but differences will get worked out as we get closer to Saturday. For now, Saturday looks like a dry and decent day with a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures will be warm compared to earlier in the week with afternoon highs in the mid 50s here in the Valley.

Disagreement comes with the next low pressure system due sometime Saturday night through Sunday. For now I’ll keep temperatures warm through Sunday with most neighborhoods getting in on some 60 degree temps. I’ll temper the warmth a bit, though, and increase the threat for rain returning Sunday.