Rain and gusty wind early in the week; Cold air arrives for the second half of the week

Overall, Sunday looks to bring a nice end to the weekend. High pressure will keep things dry across east-central Ohio. Clouds will gradually lessen through the day and allow for a mostly sunny afternoon. Temperatures today will be just about what we might expect for early November.

Low pressure will drag a weak cold front through Ohio on Monday. As the boundary approaches tonight, odds for scattered showers will increase after midnight and remain into Monday morning. This will be a quick hitter and showers should exit the region by Monday afternoon. Depending on how quickly this moves off to the east, we may see a brief period of sun before sunset.

Temperatures will be quite warm on Monday despite the front. Most areas will easily get into the low 60s for the afternoon high.

I’ve been discussing the evolution of this next system for several days And recent model runs have sped up the timing a bit which will limit chances for severe weather in east-central Ohio.

As it stands now, Monday afternoon’s dry conditions will be short-lived. Chances for rain will ramp back up Monday night as deepening low pressure out of the Plains approaches and swings across the Great Lakes on Tuesday. Widespread rain can be expected and perhaps even some embedded thunder during the morning and afternoon.

The Storm Prediction Center has kept the area of severe storms south of our area for now, but I do expect the area of greatest concern to shift over the next couple of days.

Thunder or not, the biggest concerns for us will be gusty wind. South winds will shift southwest as the system makes its way through the Great Lakes. Winds may gust 30 to 35 mph at times.

Temperatures will be warm on Tuesday ahead of the cold front with afternoon highs in the mid-60s.

Showers should exit the region Tuesday night as the system shifts east. High pressure will bring back dry conditions for Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will remain gusty on Wednesday as upper-level wind mix down to the surface.

Temperatures will take a downward spiral behind Tuesday’s storm system. Expect highs in the low 50s Wednesday under mostly sunny skies. Thursday will be noticeably cooler with afternoon temperatures in the upper 40s.

Model differences present a challenge for Friday’s forecast. The European drags low pressure across Ohio while the GFS pulls the system east. Either track will drag another cold front across the state. For now, will bring showers back into the forecast Thursday night and Friday, then dry things out again for Saturday.

Temperatures Friday night will dip to the upper 20s for the first time and this could bring the first snowflakes of the season with any moisture lingering Friday night into early Saturday morning. Confidence is low at this point, but the possibility is there.

Temperatures next weekend look cold with daytime highs in the mid/upper 30s. Nighttime lows will dip to the mid-20s.



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