Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update 02/26/2019

Light snow showers/ flurries are possible north of the Valley today. Otherwise, today will be cold with plenty of clouds. Weak low pressure will bring light precipitation to much of the region tonight and Wednesday.

Tuesday will bring a cloudier day than yesterday as a weak disturbance travels across the region. A few light snow showers will be possible mainly north of our area but these shouldn’t affect the Valley. Temperatures will remain cooler today than we should be for this time of the year. Afternoon highs this afternoon won’t warm much more than the low 30s.

Thankfully, the wind has relaxed so we won’t be dealing with any more of that. Clouds will stick around overnight but we will stay dry again with lows in the low 20s.

A weak area of low pressure will approach tonight and it will move through the upper Ohio Valley tomorrow. This little feature will bring low odds for a few light snow showers for our area as the low drags a warm front across east-central Ohio. Temperatures will warm behind the front and any precipitation will change to light rain/drizzle by the afternoon. I do not expect any snow accumulation more than a dusting and anything that does accumulate locally would melt in the warmer afternoon temperatures and rain. With a warm southwest flow, temperatures should warm up to the mid-40s.

Expected snowfall Wednesday through Thursday morning. Accumulation here in the Valley should be light and non-impactful.

Thursday should bring a mostly dry day to the Valley. Another disturbance will push into the Ohio Valley Thursday night and we’ll see slightly better odds for a few rain showers to move in late in the day. As temperatures slide back to the mid-20s Thursday night any light rain or drizzle would change over to snow. Again, this doesn’t appear to be much more than nuisance snow and shouldn’t bring much of an impact locally. After the warmer temperatures on Wednesday, temperatures will drop back to below normal on Thursday.

LATE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND
Friday looks uneventful as a warm front lifts through the region. Precipitation associated with the front should mainly keep to the north of the region. Here in the Valley, temperatures will warm to the mid-40s under a mix of sun and clouds.

There is still model contention related to a low that will move in from the southwest over the weekend. The GFS model depicts a stronger low than the European model. Because of the disagreement on strength and track of the low, we’ll keep odds for snow and mixed precipitation in the weekend forecast mainly on Saturday until this gets worked out. A few light snow showers may linger into Sunday morning with high pressure beginning to build into the region for Monday.

Temperatures will be slightly above average on Friday and Saturday before falling back to below average on Sunday.

MID RANGE TEMP OUTLOOK
If you’re like me and anxious for some warm temperatures as we turn the page to March you’ll be disappointed in the medium range temperature outlook. Below average temperatures are forecast to spread into the first 10 days or so of March – not exactly what I was hoping for.

That’s a mighty cold-looking map! According to the CPC, if you want warmth you’ll need to travel south or southwest. Even then there are only a few spots where temperatures will be warmer than average. Some of the climate modeling DOES suggest a taste of springlike temperatures may arrive after the 15th.

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