Tuscarawas County
Level: advisory
Frost Advisory
Location: Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Guernsey
Start: 10/19/2019 06:32:00
End: 10/19/2019 14:00:00
Description: ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...eastern Ohio, southwest Pennsylvania, and northern West Virginia. * WHEN...through 10am Saturday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left ---> Frost Advisory

Cooler temperatures and chances for rain arrive over the weekend

Our weather in the Valley will remain very pleasant through Friday. With high pressure off to our northeast, temperatures will slowly rise during the latter half of the week. That, coupled with bright sunshine through the period, will make for a string of gorgeous fall days locally with zero chances for any rain.

THURSDAY WEATHER MAP shows high pressure in control keeping east-central Ohio sunny and dry. Expect yet another sun-filled beautiful autumn day with afternoon temperatures warming to around 72°/74°.

Friday looks to be the warmest day of the week. A warm front will lift through east-central Ohio without any fanfare. Temperatures on Friday should reach the mid to upper 70s in Valley.

Low pressure will approach the upper Great Lakes region Friday night and drag a fairly hefty cold front across Ohio on Saturday. Scattered showers will spread across east-central Ohio Friday night into Saturday with the front.

GFS MODEL DEPICTION for Saturday morning. According to this model run, showers will accompany a cold front. The European model is similar but shows a slower system.

There may be just enough instability for a few rumbles of thunder Friday night through midday Saturday. However, confidence is not quite high enough to mention in the forecast just yet. Support for storms and a more widespread rain event appears to be much better in northeast Ohio counties at this time. Nothing severe is expected.

The main area of showers should push east of the area by Saturday evening. The most noticeable change to our weather pattern behind the front will be temperatures. Saturday night brings a good chance that lows could dip to the upper 30s Saturday night – especially in northern parts of the area. It will be breezy as well and that will keep the threat for frost development at bay.

Hi-Res NAM (3km) shows the striking difference in surface temperatures ahead and behind Friday night’s cold front. Should this solution prove to be correct, colder air will begin to invade the Valley Saturday morning.

By the way, the last time we saw a nighttime low in the 30s at the airport was back on May 15th when we had a chilly 39°.

High pressure overhead will return dry and mostly sunny conditions to the area on Sunday and Monday. Temperatures will be cooler though with highs Sunday and Monday in the mid-60-ish range.

Temperatures look to remain coolish into next week. A more westerly flow may set up by Tuesday with a few ripples riding through in the upper levels. Should this be the case, we can expect a few showers to develop at times through mid-week.

FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Rain chances will hold off until late night Friday into early Saturday. Expect dry conditions locally at kickoff with temperatures in the upper 60s. Temperatures will cool to the upper 50s by the fourth quarter. Winds will be out of the southeast 2 – 4 mph.