Long range outlook: Colder than normal

Since our weather pattern looks to be mostly benign through the weekend, I thought I’d spend some time this morning looking at the long range weather prospects.

For the folks who like cold weather, it appears your wishes will come true. The CFS (Climate Forecast System) as well as the Climate Prediction Center (part of the NWS) both signal a colder-than-normal weather pattern hanging tough through the second half of November.

By colder, we mean colder than average. While no one expects we’ll see arctic cold we’ve had here the last couple of days, there won’t be any unseasonable warmth either.

I would assume our area AG folks know already but the average daily temperature for our area around Thanksgiving is 39°. The daily average takes into account both the daytime high and the nighttime low, then averages the two. Our average daytime high around Thanksgiving is 48° and our average low is 30°.

As for the precipitation potential, there is no clear signal and odds are even for above and below normal.



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