Dry and mostly sunny weather continues today in east-central Ohio before things start to change on Monday. After another bright sunny and warm day, a storm system is set to advance into the region from the southern Plains. Clouds will begin to thicken today and tonight out ahead of this next system but with the very dry air in place overhead, it should take some time before the rain can actually make it to the ground.
Monday looks to remain dry until mid-afternoon when increasing moisture begins to overcome dry surface air and chances for showers slowly increase through the evening. Rain is nearly certain Monday night. Temperatures locally will be warm enough locally to support all liquid and any snowflakes or mixed precipitation is more likely to remain well to our north.
Odds for showers will remain high through Tuesday morning before drier air aloft ushers in a dry slot at the surface. We start to see rain chances taper off to spotty light rain in the late afternoon and evening. Locally, we should see about a quarter-inch of rain through the period.
Temperatures through the period will stay relatively warm due to to the mainly southwest flow.
TURNING COLDER WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
After a brief and mainly dry Tuesday night, rain chances will once again ramp upwards on Wednesday as an upper-level disturbance and a cold front moves through the region. The light rain showers will change to snow Wednesday night as colder air arrives in the Valley. Rounds of snow showers will make it necessary to keep moderate chances going through Thursday before all of this pulls away Thursday evening. Dry and cloudy conditions can be expected on Friday.
Wednesday will be the last day we see temperatures in the 50s before we return to freezing temperatures Thursday and Friday. Daytime highs hover around 30° and nighttime lows should chill to the low 20s.
Temperatures will stay cool Saturday and Sunday before we start to see warmer air return to start March.