Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update for 03-11-2020

A few light showers will be possible this afternoon before widespread showers return Thursday night into Friday morning. Temperatures will remain above normal for the remainder of the week.

Mainly dry conditions are in the forecast for Wednesday morning but I can’t completely rule out a spritz or light shower in the afternoon as an upper-level disturbance crosses the east-central Ohio region. Any sprinkles will be scattered with not much more than a 30-percent chance in any one spot locally. High temperatures today will be cooler than yesterday behind a weak front but still, top out above our average for today.

FUTURECAST RADAR this afternoon and evening: A spotty light shower will be possible locally.

Thursday will start out dry with increasing chances for rain in the late afternoon and evening with the advance and crossing of the next frontal system. Warm Gulf air will get drawn northward ahead of the boundary and we will see afternoon temperatures in the low-60s locally.

Widespread rain will be a pretty sure bet overnight Thursday as the system’s cold front inches closer. With a good amount of moisture available, this system can bring a decent quarter to half-inch of rain Thursday night. There’s also just a touch of instability and I wouldn’t be shocked to hear thunder at some point. The rain will end quickly Friday morning behind the front with the colder and drier air rushes in overhead.

NWSWPC TOTAL RAINFALL expected through Friday morning

Although temperatures Friday will be slightly cooler it will still be a warmer-than-average day with highs in the low 50s. Breezy west winds 10 to 15 mph could have occasional gusts to around 25 mph.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK
High pressure will build into the region on Saturday. A southern wave traveling through the lower Ohio Valley will spread clouds into east-central Ohio and there will be a chance for a shower mainly during the afternoon locally. Temperatures will cool off enough Saturday night to allow for wet snow to mix with any rain/drizzle. I’ve noticed a northward trend with the rain/snow line associated with this system and at this point, I’m not overly concerned with the potential for accumulation locally with this.

EUROPEAN MODEL DEPICTION snowfall Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Any rain/snow should exit by sunrise Sunday. Sunday will bring quiet weather to the region as the southern system departs and high pressure re-establishes.

Temperatures through the weekend will be cooler with afternoon highs in the mid-40s and nighttime lows in the 30s.

EARLY NEXT WEEK
Another bump in temperatures will get underway for Monday and Tuesday as high pressure shifts east and a southerly flow sets up. Chances for showers will return Monday night/Tuesday with the next cold front.

NWS National Blend of Models temperatures at New Philadelphia airport.

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