Posted Tuesday AM, May 4, 2021
Radar this morning shows a spattering of isolated showers and storms moving east through the region with an upper-level disturbance. These will gradually clear out and give us a short break through lunch time this afternoon.
Today will feature a warm and moist atmosphere. Already dew points across east-central Ohio are in the mid-60s this morning. As temperatures warm so will instability. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase this afternoon. Although the risk for strong to severe thunderstorms will be a bit higher today, it still doesn’t appear to be off the charts. The main threat in an storms that build this afternoon and evening is high wind gusts. Given the colder air aloft, hail is also a possibility.
Much like yesterday, cloud cover will be the limiting factor when it comes to severe storms later. The best odds of seeing storms move through our area is mid-afternoon into the evening. The threat for thunder will decrease tonight but showers are likely to continue until a cold front sinks through the region Wednesday morning. We should see some clearing on Wednesday as drier air flows in behind the front.
Temperatures today will generally top out in the low-70s. With those elevated dew points expect a muggy day. Wednesday will be much cooler with daytime highs only reaching the mid to upper-50s.
Temperatures will remain cool through the weekend. At this time I think the threat of frost in our area is pretty low. The best chances for frost is Thursday morning and Saturday morning. Temperatures look to stay just warm enough to hamper frost formation but it only needs to cool a degree or three more.
We will need to monitor the nighttime temperature trend closely over the next few days for the threat of patchy frost. At this point, I wouldn’t completely rule out a potential for at least some spotty frost Thursday and Saturday mornings.
Rain totals locally through Wednesday morning can be around an inch or so. The heaviest amounts will be on those areas that get thunderstorms today and tonight.
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