Posted Monday PM, May 10, 2021
High pressure will result in dry conditions and below-average temperatures for much of the week.
After a very wet day yesterday, we’ll dry out today and stay dry through Friday. Clouds are beginning to thicken this afternoon as a disturbance moves through eastern Ohio. Chances favor that we stay dry with this feature this evening and tonight.
Here are some area rain totals reported yesterday from backyard weather stations…
Old Town Valley 1.62" Sugarcreek 1.52" 7 SE Mineral City 1.44" 2 W New Philadelphia 1.40" WNW Carmichaels 1.32" 2 SE Beach City 1.23" New Philadelphia 1.23" New Philadelphia Air 1.20" 1 N Uhrichsville 1.17"
Those clouds will work in our favor tonight and help keep nighttime low from getting too cold. We should stay just warm enough to keep frost worries at bay. Temperatures around New Phila will cool to around 37°/39°. Folks north of New Phila may end up with some patchy frost but it’ll be iffy.
The disturbance moving through should clear the region by sunrise Tuesday. It will funnel in some colder air behind it and temperatures will end up being cooler than today. Highs in the afternoon will only top out in the low-50s despite a mostly sunny day.
Skies will gradually become mostly clear Tuesday night. With that extra boost of cold air, temperatures will approach the low to mid-30s Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. There will be a decent chance of widespread frost early Wednesday morning.
After a bright Wednesday, frost will again be possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning. With daytime temperatures around 60° expected on Wednesday, frost should not be as widespread. The best odds for frost will again be north of New Phila.
FRIDAY AND THE LONG TERM
High pressure will continue to bring fair weather to east-central Ohio Thursday through Saturday. There is model uncertainty beyond Saturday regarding a system developing in the Plains that may or may not bring rain chances back to the forecast Sunday/Monday. We’ll have to wait and see how this system plays out but for now we’ll keep the forecast dry.
As for temperatures, all indications point to a below-normal trend for much of the period. We will slowly warm up by the weekend but daytime highs will still be short of climate averages for mid-May.
Thanks for taking a few minutes to catch up with the Tuscarawas Valley’s only locally-produced weather forecast. Be safe out there.