Mild, muggy and rainy Thursday; Below average temps return for Easter Weekend

Thursday will feel more like a spring day in east-central Ohio. As a matter of fact, it will actually be a relatively warm and muggy day with afternoon temperatures around 60 degrees with dew points about the same. Today will likely be the warmest of the next seven to ten days.

Still, it will be a soggy day. Across the Tuscarawas Valley we should see mostly light showers and drizzle this morning. Rain will increase this afternoon, however, and at times could be heavy. A couple rumbles of thunder is also possible with a bit of instability entering the picture this afternoon as a cold front pushes through east-central Ohio.

Here is a look at futurecast radar from the hi-res model for today through 1:00 AM Friday:

Rain may be heavy at times this afternoon and tonight. Since rain over the past week has been lighter than expected, we should not have any flooding problems other than maybe some minor local street flooding.

The cold front continues east overnight tonight bringing a cooler day to the Valley on Friday. Depending on how far east that boundary gets, we may see a few leftover light showers lingering into early morning. These will eventually clear out and bring back the sun in the afternoon as high pressure builds over the region.

Despite drying out and some sunshine, temperatures will be noticeably cooler tomorrow with afternoon highs in the low 40s. With clearing skies and calm winds Friday night temperatures will drop below freezing.

EASTER WEEKEND
Saturday should start out dry and sunny but clouds will increase ahead of the next low approaching from the east. A warm front will lift into Ohio with this system and although we will have a cloudier afternoon, temperatures will recover back to the low 50s.

But then a cold front will  follow Saturday night increasing our chances for some light showers Saturday evening. It will not get quite as cold Saturday night but it will be cold enough that a couple of snowflakes could fall Saturday night into very early Easter Sunday.

High pressure returns once again on Easter breaking up the clouds and bringing back the sun. Temperatures on Easter Sunday will be cool and we’ll be lucky if we get to the low 40s for the afternoon high.

NEXT WEEK
We will remain dry with sunshine on Monday but still cool with temperatures in the upper 40s. A warm front lifts through on Tuesday and although that will bring back a warm day in the mid 50s, it will also bring increasing chances for showers to the area once again. Temperatures cool off once again on Tuesday behind the associated cold front.

For those of us who have been anxiously awaiting true spring temperatures and weather conditions, it appears we are just going to have to be patient. All the long range modeling and climate models strongly agree that temperatures will stay cooler than average through the first week or two of April.

Keep in mind that this is April and average temperatures this time of the year are in the upper 50s to around 60, so cooler than average doesn’t mean freezing cold. It does mean that we can expect daytime highs 5 to 10 degrees cooler than we should be – 50 to 55 degrees perhaps.

Hopefully the cool weather pattern will change later in the month and we can all get outside and enjoy sunnier and warmer weather in east-central Ohio.

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