High pressure will keep the sunshine going through early afternoon across east-central Ohio but high and mid level clouds will begin moving in by mid-afternoon and this evening. A low approaching from the Tennesee Valley will travel into the Ohio Valley tonight increasing the odds for rain. Dry air over the region will help keep the threat for rain minimal tonight but the moisture will eventually overpower that dry air by sunrise Tuesday.
Bright strong sun this morning will kick temperatures to the low 70s across the region today.
Rain is pretty much a given on Tuesday during the morning commute and through the day as our storm system crosses to the south. Simulated radar product from the short term hi-res model this evening through 10:00 am Tuesday (NEW: Added HRRR simulated radar product at 6:00 pm Monday):
Temperatures tomorrow will be held in check by the rain and clouds with afternoon highs near 60 degrees.
Showers are likely to continue Tuesday night as the system slowly makes its way east. These should begin to taper off Wednesday and become more scattered in nature. By the time the system makes its way out of the region, we could chalk up a half to three-quarters of an inch of rain.
A cold front will sink across Ohio Wednesday morning and temperatures Wednesday will again drop back to the upper 50s. This morning’s models have taken the system far enough east to end showers Wednesday night.
High pressure and drier air return for Thursday and Friday bringing sunshine back to the region. A weak cold front will cross on Friday. Current guidance shows little moisture with this feature so I’ve elected to kept rain out of the forecast until Friday night – for now.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK
Odds for showers may linger into Saturday morning but dry weather should return by the afternoon. Weak high pressure will build early next week. Below average temperatures will stick around through the weekend but we should gradually warm to seasonal values by early next week.
LONG RANGE
Temperatures generally look to remain on the cool side of climate normals for the Valley through the beginning of May by a few degrees.
However, temperatures anomalies for the month of May as a whole signal warmer than average temperatures, according to the Climate Forecast System.
Thanks for checking in on our local weather with the Tuscarawas Valley Weather Blog. Enjoy our nice weather today!
