Thursday: A fine spring day for the Valley; After a cool weekend, warm temps will dominate next week

Patchy fog this morning should clear out rather quickly by 10:00 am. And the deck of stratus clouds overhead will break up allowing for a nice mostly sunny to sunny spring day across east-central Ohio. Temperatures this afternoon will peak just below average for today with highs in the Tuscarawas Valley area reaching the low 60s.

A weakening cold front will approach the region tonight but the boundary will dissipate as it crosses east-central Ohio. Clouds will increase as it approaches but moisture will be limited.

A better chance for a light shower will arrive late in the day Friday and Friday night with low pressure dragging a second cold front across the region. Clouds and scattered showers will linger through early afternoon Saturday and drop temperatures back to the upper 50s for Saturday highs. Temperatures Saturday night will sink to near freezing behind the front.

Sunday will be the pick day of the weekend as high pressure builds in from the west to bring sunshine back to the Valley. Temperatures will remain about 10 to 12 degrees below average with afternoon highs in the low/mid 50s.

WARM THROUGH MIDWEEK
A pattern shift gets underway on Monday as an upper-level ridge shifts east into the eastern US. We can expect dry conditions and warmer temperatures in east-central Ohio through the period. Temperatures will gradually warm from the mid to upper 60s on Monday to near 80 degrees by Wednesday.

GFS MODEL depicting the upper-level flow on Tuesday of next week. A ridge of high pressure over the eastern US will bring much anticipated warm temperatures to east-central Ohio through mid-week.

With the warmer temperatures arriving many folks will be anxious to get outdoors and start our gardening projects. While it will be tempting to start, a wise gardener will hold off a couple of weeks. The chart below lists the last and first frost/freeze dates for New Philadelphia over the past 20 years.

WILL THE WARM TEMPERATURES STICK?
Warm temperatures will peak on Wednesday and dominate through much of next week. But another pattern shift will set up for next weekend as the upper-level ridge breaks down and allows a trough to move in from the west.

Notice the warm colors in the east on our previous map have been replaced by lots of blues signalling a shift to cooler temperatures by next weekend. Exactly how much cooler those temperatures become is a little too far out yet to forecast. But next weekend will bring cooler temperatures than we will see during the work week.

Another factor we’ll need to watch for will be thunderstorms as the warmer air is replaced by cold air aloft.

Thanks for reading the Thursday edition of my Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update. As always you can grab my 7-Day Forecast for the Valley any time right here on TuscWeather.net. Have a great day and enjoy the sunshine!

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